Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 28°C daily maximum in Wuhan on September 11 stems from official forecasts and real-time observations showing clear skies, light easterly winds, and peak afternoon temperatures reaching that threshold under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs, project a high of 28–29°C with minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, aligning with historical September baselines where daytime warming peaks before seasonal cooling. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified data from monitoring agencies rather than speculation. A realistic challenge could arise only from localized measurement variance at the reference station or unforecasted cloud build-up suppressing insolation, though current model agreement leaves little room for deviation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 11 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Ухане 11 сентября?
28°C 100.0%
24°C или ниже <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$26,980 Объем
$26,980 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Да
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Нет
33°C
Нет
34°C или выше
Нет
28°C 100.0%
24°C или ниже <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$26,980 Объем
$26,980 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$813 Объем
Нет
25°C
$1,214 Объем
Нет
26°C
$1,260 Объем
Нет
27°C
$3,361 Объем
Нет
28°C
$6,420 Объем
Да
29°C
$5,429 Объем
Нет
30°C
$4,314 Объем
Нет
31°C
$3,127 Объем
Нет
32°C
$681 Объем
Нет
33°C
$286 Объем
Нет
34°C или выше
$74 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 28°C daily maximum in Wuhan on September 11 stems from official forecasts and real-time observations showing clear skies, light easterly winds, and peak afternoon temperatures reaching that threshold under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs, project a high of 28–29°C with minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, aligning with historical September baselines where daytime warming peaks before seasonal cooling. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified data from monitoring agencies rather than speculation. A realistic challenge could arise only from localized measurement variance at the reference station or unforecasted cloud build-up suppressing insolation, though current model agreement leaves little room for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$26,980Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 28°C daily maximum in Wuhan on September 11 stems from official forecasts and real-time observations showing clear skies, light easterly winds, and peak afternoon temperatures reaching that threshold under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs, project a high of 28–29°C with minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, aligning with historical September baselines where daytime warming peaks before seasonal cooling. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified data from monitoring agencies rather than speculation. A realistic challenge could arise only from localized measurement variance at the reference station or unforecasted cloud build-up suppressing insolation, though current model agreement leaves little room for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$26,980Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 28°C daily maximum in Wuhan on September 11 stems from official forecasts and real-time observations showing clear skies, light easterly winds, and peak afternoon temperatures reaching that threshold under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs, project a high of 28–29°C with minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure, aligning with historical September baselines where daytime warming peaks before seasonal cooling. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified data from monitoring agencies rather than speculation. A realistic challenge could arise only from localized measurement variance at the reference station or unforecasted cloud build-up suppressing insolation, though current model agreement leaves little room for deviation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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