Current meteorological model consensus, including GFS outputs and agency guidance, centers the highest temperature in Paris on September 22 at 24–25°C under clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure that favors strong daytime solar heating without cloud cover or precipitation. These values sit above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of roughly 20.6°C yet remain within the typical late-September range, with historical extremes on the date reaching 28.5°C. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread and no incoming fronts or model divergence that would shift the outcome, producing the tight market-implied probabilities of 52.5% for 24°C and 41.0% for 25°C. Final verification will rely on official Météo-France or equivalent station measurements at resolution time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 22 сентября?
24°C 56%
25°C 37%
23°C 6%
26°C 4%
$18,938 Объем
$18,938 Объем
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
56%
25°C
37%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
24°C 56%
25°C 37%
23°C 6%
26°C 4%
$18,938 Объем
$18,938 Объем
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
56%
25°C
37%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological model consensus, including GFS outputs and agency guidance, centers the highest temperature in Paris on September 22 at 24–25°C under clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high pressure that favors strong daytime solar heating without cloud cover or precipitation. These values sit above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of roughly 20.6°C yet remain within the typical late-September range, with historical extremes on the date reaching 28.5°C. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread and no incoming fronts or model divergence that would shift the outcome, producing the tight market-implied probabilities of 52.5% for 24°C and 41.0% for 25°C. Final verification will rely on official Météo-France or equivalent station measurements at resolution time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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