**Real-time observations and forecast model consensus have driven near-certain trader positioning on an 18°C daily maximum for Munich on September 10.** Overcast skies, light easterly to northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure limited daytime heating, with hourly data from sources such as Yr and Meteoprog showing afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding 18°C. This aligns with the day’s cool, cloudy pattern that kept temperatures below the long-term September average high of 20.5°C. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering of official station readings and model runs around that exact threshold. Only an unexpected late-day spike or post-hoc measurement revision at the primary reporting station could alter the outcome, though current data make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 10 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 10 сентября?
18°C 100.0%
13°C или ниже <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$61,861 Объем
$61,861 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Да
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C или выше
Нет
18°C 100.0%
13°C или ниже <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$61,861 Объем
$61,861 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$1,260 Объем
Нет
14°C
$1,722 Объем
Нет
15°C
$287 Объем
Нет
16°C
$1,950 Объем
Нет
17°C
$8,512 Объем
Нет
18°C
$13,039 Объем
Да
19°C
$13,350 Объем
Нет
20°C
$10,267 Объем
Нет
21°C
$7,152 Объем
Нет
22°C
$2,624 Объем
Нет
23°C или выше
$1,696 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Real-time observations and forecast model consensus have driven near-certain trader positioning on an 18°C daily maximum for Munich on September 10.** Overcast skies, light easterly to northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure limited daytime heating, with hourly data from sources such as Yr and Meteoprog showing afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding 18°C. This aligns with the day’s cool, cloudy pattern that kept temperatures below the long-term September average high of 20.5°C. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering of official station readings and model runs around that exact threshold. Only an unexpected late-day spike or post-hoc measurement revision at the primary reporting station could alter the outcome, though current data make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$61,861Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Real-time observations and forecast model consensus have driven near-certain trader positioning on an 18°C daily maximum for Munich on September 10.** Overcast skies, light easterly to northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure limited daytime heating, with hourly data from sources such as Yr and Meteoprog showing afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding 18°C. This aligns with the day’s cool, cloudy pattern that kept temperatures below the long-term September average high of 20.5°C. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering of official station readings and model runs around that exact threshold. Only an unexpected late-day spike or post-hoc measurement revision at the primary reporting station could alter the outcome, though current data make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$61,861Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
**Real-time observations and forecast model consensus have driven near-certain trader positioning on an 18°C daily maximum for Munich on September 10.** Overcast skies, light easterly to northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure limited daytime heating, with hourly data from sources such as Yr and Meteoprog showing afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding 18°C. This aligns with the day’s cool, cloudy pattern that kept temperatures below the long-term September average high of 20.5°C. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering of official station readings and model runs around that exact threshold. Only an unexpected late-day spike or post-hoc measurement revision at the primary reporting station could alter the outcome, though current data make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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