**Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C high for Manila on September 22, 2026, reflecting alignment between official forecasts, real-time observations, and historical September norms.** PAGASA recorded a peak of 31.9°C at the Science Garden station under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, while multiple model runs and airport METAR reports hovered near 31–32°C amid typical southwest monsoon moisture and light winds. This outcome matches the long-term September average daytime maximum of about 31°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport, the NOAA resolution source. Strong market-implied odds above 90% indicate traders view measurement variance or late-day spikes capable of pushing the official reading outside the 32°C bin as low-probability given current conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 22 сентября?
32°C 100.0%
28°C или ниже <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$46,325 Объем
$46,325 Объем
28°C или ниже
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Да
33°C
Нет
34°C
Нет
35°C
Нет
36°C
Нет
37°C
Нет
38°C или выше
Нет
32°C 100.0%
28°C или ниже <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$46,325 Объем
$46,325 Объем
28°C или ниже
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Да
33°C
Нет
34°C
Нет
35°C
Нет
36°C
Нет
37°C
Нет
38°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
**Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C high for Manila on September 22, 2026, reflecting alignment between official forecasts, real-time observations, and historical September norms.** PAGASA recorded a peak of 31.9°C at the Science Garden station under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, while multiple model runs and airport METAR reports hovered near 31–32°C amid typical southwest monsoon moisture and light winds. This outcome matches the long-term September average daytime maximum of about 31°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport, the NOAA resolution source. Strong market-implied odds above 90% indicate traders view measurement variance or late-day spikes capable of pushing the official reading outside the 32°C bin as low-probability given current conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы