**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a high near 65°F for Chicago on September 25, driven by persistent cloud cover and easterly winds off Lake Michigan that limit daytime heating.** These conditions suppress maximum temperatures below the 1991–2020 average of ~73°F, favoring the market’s leading 66–69°F bins (combined ~89% implied probability). Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with highs clustered in the mid-60s amid overcast skies and light east-northeast flow. Historical analogs for similar late-September setups confirm subdued warming when lake-modified air dominates. Traders are weighting the near-term forecast stability, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could still nudge the outcome within the narrow 64–71°F range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 25 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 25 сентября?
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 30%
70-71°F 18%
64-65°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
57°F или ниже
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
42%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F или выше
<1%
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 30%
70-71°F 18%
64-65°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
57°F или ниже
$153 Объем
<1%
58-59°F
$95 Объем
<1%
60-61°F
$121 Объем
1%
62-63°F
$68 Объем
2%
64-65°F
$97 Объем
7%
66-67°F
$1,896 Объем
30%
68-69°F
$292 Объем
42%
70-71°F
$872 Объем
18%
72-73°F
$636 Объем
3%
74-75°F
$280 Объем
<1%
76°F или выше
$100 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a high near 65°F for Chicago on September 25, driven by persistent cloud cover and easterly winds off Lake Michigan that limit daytime heating.**
These conditions suppress maximum temperatures below the 1991–2020 average of ~73°F, favoring the market’s leading 66–69°F bins (combined ~89% implied probability). Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with highs clustered in the mid-60s amid overcast skies and light east-northeast flow. Historical analogs for similar late-September setups confirm subdued warming when lake-modified air dominates. Traders are weighting the near-term forecast stability, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could still nudge the outcome within the narrow 64–71°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$4,611Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a high near 65°F for Chicago on September 25, driven by persistent cloud cover and easterly winds off Lake Michigan that limit daytime heating.**
These conditions suppress maximum temperatures below the 1991–2020 average of ~73°F, favoring the market’s leading 66–69°F bins (combined ~89% implied probability). Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with highs clustered in the mid-60s amid overcast skies and light east-northeast flow. Historical analogs for similar late-September setups confirm subdued warming when lake-modified air dominates. Traders are weighting the near-term forecast stability, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could still nudge the outcome within the narrow 64–71°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,611Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a high near 65°F for Chicago on September 25, driven by persistent cloud cover and easterly winds off Lake Michigan that limit daytime heating.** These conditions suppress maximum temperatures below the 1991–2020 average of ~73°F, favoring the market’s leading 66–69°F bins (combined ~89% implied probability). Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with highs clustered in the mid-60s amid overcast skies and light east-northeast flow. Historical analogs for similar late-September setups confirm subdued warming when lake-modified air dominates. Traders are weighting the near-term forecast stability, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could still nudge the outcome within the narrow 64–71°F range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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