**Market-implied odds place overwhelming confidence in a 34°C high for Manila on September 19, driven by trader interpretation of regional model consensus and current steering patterns.** Official PAGASA guidance projects a 32°C maximum under partly cloudy skies with a 60% rain chance, aligning with the southwest monsoon regime that typically caps September highs near 32°C through widespread cloud cover and convective activity. Persistent moisture and light winds limit surface heating, while any localized clearing could briefly allow temperatures to approach or reach 34°C. Historical September records show occasional peaks at or above this level when monsoon breaks occur. Real-time station data and final daily maximum readings will resolve the market, with model updates from global ensembles providing the next key inputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 19 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 19 сентября?
34°C 100.0%
28°C или ниже <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$35,769 Объем
$35,769 Объем
19 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Нет
33°C
Нет
34°C
Да
35°C
Нет
36°C
Нет
37°C
Нет
38°C или выше
Нет
34°C 100.0%
28°C или ниже <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$35,769 Объем
$35,769 Объем
19 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
$233 Объем
Нет
29°C
$343 Объем
Нет
30°C
$1,475 Объем
Нет
31°C
$4,336 Объем
Нет
32°C
$6,953 Объем
Нет
33°C
$7,933 Объем
Нет
34°C
$9,505 Объем
Да
35°C
$3,428 Объем
Нет
36°C
$1,271 Объем
Нет
37°C
$111 Объем
Нет
38°C или выше
$181 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds place overwhelming confidence in a 34°C high for Manila on September 19, driven by trader interpretation of regional model consensus and current steering patterns.** Official PAGASA guidance projects a 32°C maximum under partly cloudy skies with a 60% rain chance, aligning with the southwest monsoon regime that typically caps September highs near 32°C through widespread cloud cover and convective activity. Persistent moisture and light winds limit surface heating, while any localized clearing could briefly allow temperatures to approach or reach 34°C. Historical September records show occasional peaks at or above this level when monsoon breaks occur. Real-time station data and final daily maximum readings will resolve the market, with model updates from global ensembles providing the next key inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$35,769Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds place overwhelming confidence in a 34°C high for Manila on September 19, driven by trader interpretation of regional model consensus and current steering patterns.** Official PAGASA guidance projects a 32°C maximum under partly cloudy skies with a 60% rain chance, aligning with the southwest monsoon regime that typically caps September highs near 32°C through widespread cloud cover and convective activity. Persistent moisture and light winds limit surface heating, while any localized clearing could briefly allow temperatures to approach or reach 34°C. Historical September records show occasional peaks at or above this level when monsoon breaks occur. Real-time station data and final daily maximum readings will resolve the market, with model updates from global ensembles providing the next key inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$35,769Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
**Market-implied odds place overwhelming confidence in a 34°C high for Manila on September 19, driven by trader interpretation of regional model consensus and current steering patterns.** Official PAGASA guidance projects a 32°C maximum under partly cloudy skies with a 60% rain chance, aligning with the southwest monsoon regime that typically caps September highs near 32°C through widespread cloud cover and convective activity. Persistent moisture and light winds limit surface heating, while any localized clearing could briefly allow temperatures to approach or reach 34°C. Historical September records show occasional peaks at or above this level when monsoon breaks occur. Real-time station data and final daily maximum readings will resolve the market, with model updates from global ensembles providing the next key inputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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