Traders have converged on 32°C as the market-implied outcome for Manila’s daily maximum temperature on September 16, reflecting the latest official forecasts and real-time observations from monitoring stations. Mid-September climatology in the region typically features highs near 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds limiting extreme deviations. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports a peak in the low 30s Celsius during afternoon hours, consistent with historical baselines and current atmospheric conditions including cloud cover and precipitation probabilities around 70–90%. A shift to clearer skies or delayed storm development could push readings slightly higher, while heavier or earlier rainfall might cap the maximum below this threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 16 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 16 сентября?
32°C 100.0%
26°C или ниже <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$46,238 Объем
$46,238 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Да
33°C
Нет
34°C
Нет
35°C
Нет
36°C или выше
Нет
32°C 100.0%
26°C или ниже <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$46,238 Объем
$46,238 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$387 Объем
Нет
27°C
$814 Объем
Нет
28°C
$1,392 Объем
Нет
29°C
$1,830 Объем
Нет
30°C
$5,307 Объем
Нет
31°C
$10,447 Объем
Нет
32°C
$11,903 Объем
Да
33°C
$10,255 Объем
Нет
34°C
$3,155 Объем
Нет
35°C
$507 Объем
Нет
36°C или выше
$241 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 32°C as the market-implied outcome for Manila’s daily maximum temperature on September 16, reflecting the latest official forecasts and real-time observations from monitoring stations. Mid-September climatology in the region typically features highs near 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds limiting extreme deviations. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports a peak in the low 30s Celsius during afternoon hours, consistent with historical baselines and current atmospheric conditions including cloud cover and precipitation probabilities around 70–90%. A shift to clearer skies or delayed storm development could push readings slightly higher, while heavier or earlier rainfall might cap the maximum below this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$46,238Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 32°C as the market-implied outcome for Manila’s daily maximum temperature on September 16, reflecting the latest official forecasts and real-time observations from monitoring stations. Mid-September climatology in the region typically features highs near 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds limiting extreme deviations. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports a peak in the low 30s Celsius during afternoon hours, consistent with historical baselines and current atmospheric conditions including cloud cover and precipitation probabilities around 70–90%. A shift to clearer skies or delayed storm development could push readings slightly higher, while heavier or earlier rainfall might cap the maximum below this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$46,238Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Traders have converged on 32°C as the market-implied outcome for Manila’s daily maximum temperature on September 16, reflecting the latest official forecasts and real-time observations from monitoring stations. Mid-September climatology in the region typically features highs near 30–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds limiting extreme deviations. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports a peak in the low 30s Celsius during afternoon hours, consistent with historical baselines and current atmospheric conditions including cloud cover and precipitation probabilities around 70–90%. A shift to clearer skies or delayed storm development could push readings slightly higher, while heavier or earlier rainfall might cap the maximum below this threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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