Official National Weather Service observations for September 21, 2026, established a daily high in the 98–99°F range at primary Austin stations such as Camp Mabry, aligning with the market's near-certain 98–99°F outcome. This reflects late-summer atmospheric conditions under a record-hot September pattern, with minimal cloud cover, light easterly winds, and heat indices near 105°F but no widespread exceedance of 100°F that day. Forecaster model consensus and real-time surface data reinforced this range against historical September averages around 90°F. A realistic shift would require post-verification adjustments from the main reporting station or an overlooked microclimate spike, though current data agreement makes such revisions improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 21 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 21 сентября?
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F или ниже <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$38,104 Объем
$38,104 Объем
21 сент. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
Нет
90-91°F
Нет
92-93°F
Нет
94-95°F
Нет
96-97°F
Нет
98-99°F
Да
100-101°F
Нет
102–103°F
Нет
104-105°F
Нет
106-107°F
Нет
108°F или выше
Нет
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F или ниже <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$38,104 Объем
$38,104 Объем
21 сент. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
$111 Объем
Нет
90-91°F
$362 Объем
Нет
92-93°F
$7,715 Объем
Нет
94-95°F
$3,610 Объем
Нет
96-97°F
$10,337 Объем
Нет
98-99°F
$8,366 Объем
Да
100-101°F
$5,380 Объем
Нет
102–103°F
$1,425 Объем
Нет
104-105°F
$255 Объем
Нет
106-107°F
$431 Объем
Нет
108°F или выше
$111 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for September 21, 2026, established a daily high in the 98–99°F range at primary Austin stations such as Camp Mabry, aligning with the market's near-certain 98–99°F outcome. This reflects late-summer atmospheric conditions under a record-hot September pattern, with minimal cloud cover, light easterly winds, and heat indices near 105°F but no widespread exceedance of 100°F that day. Forecaster model consensus and real-time surface data reinforced this range against historical September averages around 90°F. A realistic shift would require post-verification adjustments from the main reporting station or an overlooked microclimate spike, though current data agreement makes such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$38,104Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for September 21, 2026, established a daily high in the 98–99°F range at primary Austin stations such as Camp Mabry, aligning with the market's near-certain 98–99°F outcome. This reflects late-summer atmospheric conditions under a record-hot September pattern, with minimal cloud cover, light easterly winds, and heat indices near 105°F but no widespread exceedance of 100°F that day. Forecaster model consensus and real-time surface data reinforced this range against historical September averages around 90°F. A realistic shift would require post-verification adjustments from the main reporting station or an overlooked microclimate spike, though current data agreement makes such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$38,104Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official National Weather Service observations for September 21, 2026, established a daily high in the 98–99°F range at primary Austin stations such as Camp Mabry, aligning with the market's near-certain 98–99°F outcome. This reflects late-summer atmospheric conditions under a record-hot September pattern, with minimal cloud cover, light easterly winds, and heat indices near 105°F but no widespread exceedance of 100°F that day. Forecaster model consensus and real-time surface data reinforced this range against historical September averages around 90°F. A realistic shift would require post-verification adjustments from the main reporting station or an overlooked microclimate spike, though current data agreement makes such revisions improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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