Recent numerical weather prediction output from models including ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s September 22 maximum near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds around 4 m/s and modest moisture. This consensus, combined with historical September averages near 25°C, underpins the tight market split between the 25°C and 24°C outcomes. Potential afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1°C, while clearer conditions or stronger insolation would support the upper end. Traders weigh these variables ahead of the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s official reading, which resolves the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Анкаре 22 сентября?
24°C 35%
25°C 35%
23°C 17%
26°C 14%
20°C или ниже
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
17%
24°C
35%
25°C
35%
26°C
14%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
24°C 35%
25°C 35%
23°C 17%
26°C 14%
20°C или ниже
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
17%
24°C
35%
25°C
35%
26°C
14%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction output from models including ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s September 22 maximum near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds around 4 m/s and modest moisture. This consensus, combined with historical September averages near 25°C, underpins the tight market split between the 25°C and 24°C outcomes. Potential afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1°C, while clearer conditions or stronger insolation would support the upper end. Traders weigh these variables ahead of the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s official reading, which resolves the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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