Anthropic’s September 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 has driven the latest gains on Humanity’s Last Exam, with Fable 5.1 posting the top reported scores of 59.1% on standard leaderboards and up to 65% in tool-augmented evaluations. These iterative releases emphasize enhanced reasoning, adaptive thinking, and tool integration on the 2,500-question benchmark spanning graduate-level math, science, and humanities. Claude variants now lead or cluster at the frontier ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and other competitors, reflecting sustained investment in frontier capabilities. Traders are watching for additional model updates or optimization techniques before year-end that could push the highest Claude score higher while the benchmark remains far from saturation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамый высокий балл Клода на последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году?
Самый высокий балл Клода на последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году?
$96,744 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
55%+
88%
60%+
51%
65%+
21%
70%+
7%
75%+
5%
$96,744 Объем
55%+
$21,733 Объем
88%
60%+
$42,078 Объем
51%
65%+
$27,768 Объем
21%
70%+
$3,859 Объем
7%
75%+
$1,306 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s September 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 has driven the latest gains on Humanity’s Last Exam, with Fable 5.1 posting the top reported scores of 59.1% on standard leaderboards and up to 65% in tool-augmented evaluations. These iterative releases emphasize enhanced reasoning, adaptive thinking, and tool integration on the 2,500-question benchmark spanning graduate-level math, science, and humanities. Claude variants now lead or cluster at the frontier ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and other competitors, reflecting sustained investment in frontier capabilities. Traders are watching for additional model updates or optimization techniques before year-end that could push the highest Claude score higher while the benchmark remains far from saturation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Открытие рынка: Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
Объем
$96,744Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://agi.safe.ai/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s September 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 has driven the latest gains on Humanity’s Last Exam, with Fable 5.1 posting the top reported scores of 59.1% on standard leaderboards and up to 65% in tool-augmented evaluations. These iterative releases emphasize enhanced reasoning, adaptive thinking, and tool integration on the 2,500-question benchmark spanning graduate-level math, science, and humanities. Claude variants now lead or cluster at the frontier ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and other competitors, reflecting sustained investment in frontier capabilities. Traders are watching for additional model updates or optimization techniques before year-end that could push the highest Claude score higher while the benchmark remains far from saturation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Объем
$96,744Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://agi.safe.ai/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s September 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 has driven the latest gains on Humanity’s Last Exam, with Fable 5.1 posting the top reported scores of 59.1% on standard leaderboards and up to 65% in tool-augmented evaluations. These iterative releases emphasize enhanced reasoning, adaptive thinking, and tool integration on the 2,500-question benchmark spanning graduate-level math, science, and humanities. Claude variants now lead or cluster at the frontier ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and other competitors, reflecting sustained investment in frontier capabilities. Traders are watching for additional model updates or optimization techniques before year-end that could push the highest Claude score higher while the benchmark remains far from saturation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли наивысший балл, набранный на Последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году, равен 60% или выше?
59%
Да
Достигнет ли максимальный балл, набранный моделью OpenAI на Последнем Экзамене Человечества в 2026 году, 55% или больше?
84%
Да
Будет ли максимальный результат, достигнутый моделью Meta на Последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году, 55% или выше?
44%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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