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icon for Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау

Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау

icon for Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау

Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау

Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné» 27.8%

FREPASNA 19.8%

ПТ 10.8%

FLING 4.2%

Polymarket

$159,968 Объем

Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné» 27.8%

FREPASNA 19.8%

ПТ 10.8%

FLING 4.2%

Polymarket

$159,968 Объем

Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné»

$48,823 Объем

28%

FREPASNA

$26,786 Объем

20%

ПТ

$22,046 Объем

11%

FLING

$13,132 Объем

4%

ПС

$26,296 Объем

4%

MUNDO-GB


$22,884 Объем

3%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau's December 2026 legislative election unfolds under a military-led transitional government following the 2025 coup, with the High Military Command overseeing preparations and a new constitution recently approved that expands presidential authority while shrinking parliament to 65 seats and consolidating constituencies. This framework, combined with the junta's September enforcement of party office relocation rules near state institutions, shapes campaign dynamics for contenders including Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné,” FREPASNA, and PT. The fragmented field and limited recent polling keep implied probabilities closely bunched, as traders weigh historical party performance against transitional uncertainties and potential last-minute procedural shifts ahead of the vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Объем
$159,968
Дата окончания
23 нояб. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau's December 2026 legislative election unfolds under a military-led transitional government following the 2025 coup, with the High Military Command overseeing preparations and a new constitution recently approved that expands presidential authority while shrinking parliament to 65 seats and consolidating constituencies. This framework, combined with the junta's September enforcement of party office relocation rules near state institutions, shapes campaign dynamics for contenders including Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné,” FREPASNA, and PT. The fragmented field and limited recent polling keep implied probabilities closely bunched, as traders weigh historical party performance against transitional uncertainties and potential last-minute procedural shifts ahead of the vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Объем
$159,968
Дата окончания
23 нояб. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Фернандо Диас да Коста президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау 2025 года?

Выиграет ли Фернандо Диас да Коста президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау 2025 года?

11%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли СДА наибольшее количество мест на всеобщих выборах в Боснии в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли СДА наибольшее количество мест на всеобщих выборах в Боснии в 2026 году?

74%
Да
icon for Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?

Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?

91%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné»» с 28%, за ним следует «FREPASNA» с 20%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 28¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $160K с момента запуска рынка Nov 7, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау» — «Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné»» с 28%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Следующий ближайший исход — «FREPASNA» с 20%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.