Recent polling ahead of the September 20, 2026 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election has placed Bündnis 90/Die Grünen consistently between 14% and 16%, reflecting a modest decline from their 18.4% share in 2023 amid stronger showings by Die Linke and the CDU. Exit polls and initial counts on election day align with this range, driven by voter priorities on housing affordability, public transport, and climate measures that have not shifted decisively toward or away from the Greens in the final weeks. Coalition arithmetic keeps the party relevant for potential Linke-SPD-Grüne or CDU-SPD-Grüne arrangements, supporting trader consensus on the 14-17% band. Late swings in turnout among younger or urban voters or unexpected swings in undecided ballots remain the primary variables that could push results outside this interval once full tallies are certified.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено14–17% 98.3%
<14% 1.2%
17-20% <1%
20%+ <1%
$74,782 Объем
$74,782 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
<14%
1%
14–17%
98%
17-20%
1%
20%+
<1%
14–17% 98.3%
<14% 1.2%
17-20% <1%
20%+ <1%
$74,782 Объем
$74,782 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
<14%
$30,085 Объем
1%
14–17%
$27,354 Объем
98%
17-20%
$13,678 Объем
1%
20%+
$3,665 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling ahead of the September 20, 2026 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election has placed Bündnis 90/Die Grünen consistently between 14% and 16%, reflecting a modest decline from their 18.4% share in 2023 amid stronger showings by Die Linke and the CDU. Exit polls and initial counts on election day align with this range, driven by voter priorities on housing affordability, public transport, and climate measures that have not shifted decisively toward or away from the Greens in the final weeks. Coalition arithmetic keeps the party relevant for potential Linke-SPD-Grüne or CDU-SPD-Grüne arrangements, supporting trader consensus on the 14-17% band. Late swings in turnout among younger or urban voters or unexpected swings in undecided ballots remain the primary variables that could push results outside this interval once full tallies are certified.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Объем
$74,782Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling ahead of the September 20, 2026 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election has placed Bündnis 90/Die Grünen consistently between 14% and 16%, reflecting a modest decline from their 18.4% share in 2023 amid stronger showings by Die Linke and the CDU. Exit polls and initial counts on election day align with this range, driven by voter priorities on housing affordability, public transport, and climate measures that have not shifted decisively toward or away from the Greens in the final weeks. Coalition arithmetic keeps the party relevant for potential Linke-SPD-Grüne or CDU-SPD-Grüne arrangements, supporting trader consensus on the 14-17% band. Late swings in turnout among younger or urban voters or unexpected swings in undecided ballots remain the primary variables that could push results outside this interval once full tallies are certified.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Объем
$74,782Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of the September 20, 2026 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election has placed Bündnis 90/Die Grünen consistently between 14% and 16%, reflecting a modest decline from their 18.4% share in 2023 amid stronger showings by Die Linke and the CDU. Exit polls and initial counts on election day align with this range, driven by voter priorities on housing affordability, public transport, and climate measures that have not shifted decisively toward or away from the Greens in the final weeks. Coalition arithmetic keeps the party relevant for potential Linke-SPD-Grüne or CDU-SPD-Grüne arrangements, supporting trader consensus on the 14-17% band. Late swings in turnout among younger or urban voters or unexpected swings in undecided ballots remain the primary variables that could push results outside this interval once full tallies are certified.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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