The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its overnight rate steady at 2.25% for a seventh consecutive meeting on September 2 reflects balanced risks that support market-implied odds against a 2026 hike. Recent data show a broadening recovery, with Q2 GDP expanding at a 3.3% annualized pace and unemployment easing to 6.4%, yet excess supply persists in the labor market. Headline CPI near 3% stems mainly from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions, while core measures remain close to 2%. New U.S. tariffs introduce downside growth risks, prompting the BoC to emphasize patience ahead of the October 28 announcement. Analyst surveys and forward curves price the policy rate unchanged through year-end, with any tightening viewed as more likely in 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПовышение ставки Банком Канады в 2026 году?
Повышение ставки Банком Канады в 2026 году?
Да
42% вероятность
$21,639 Объем
$21,639 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
42% вероятность
$21,639 Объем
$21,639 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its overnight rate steady at 2.25% for a seventh consecutive meeting on September 2 reflects balanced risks that support market-implied odds against a 2026 hike. Recent data show a broadening recovery, with Q2 GDP expanding at a 3.3% annualized pace and unemployment easing to 6.4%, yet excess supply persists in the labor market. Headline CPI near 3% stems mainly from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions, while core measures remain close to 2%. New U.S. tariffs introduce downside growth risks, prompting the BoC to emphasize patience ahead of the October 28 announcement. Analyst surveys and forward curves price the policy rate unchanged through year-end, with any tightening viewed as more likely in 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Объем
$21,639Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its overnight rate steady at 2.25% for a seventh consecutive meeting on September 2 reflects balanced risks that support market-implied odds against a 2026 hike. Recent data show a broadening recovery, with Q2 GDP expanding at a 3.3% annualized pace and unemployment easing to 6.4%, yet excess supply persists in the labor market. Headline CPI near 3% stems mainly from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions, while core measures remain close to 2%. New U.S. tariffs introduce downside growth risks, prompting the BoC to emphasize patience ahead of the October 28 announcement. Analyst surveys and forward curves price the policy rate unchanged through year-end, with any tightening viewed as more likely in 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$21,639Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its overnight rate steady at 2.25% for a seventh consecutive meeting on September 2 reflects balanced risks that support market-implied odds against a 2026 hike. Recent data show a broadening recovery, with Q2 GDP expanding at a 3.3% annualized pace and unemployment easing to 6.4%, yet excess supply persists in the labor market. Headline CPI near 3% stems mainly from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions, while core measures remain close to 2%. New U.S. tariffs introduce downside growth risks, prompting the BoC to emphasize patience ahead of the October 28 announcement. Analyst surveys and forward curves price the policy rate unchanged through year-end, with any tightening viewed as more likely in 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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