Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,510–1,535 amid a managed band regime with inflation-linked crawl, reflects trader focus on the Milei administration’s strong-peso strategy to sustain disinflation. Monthly CPI has eased to around 1.7–2.2 percent, supporting annual inflation near 33 percent, while fiscal surpluses and BCRA dollar purchases bolster reserves and limit depreciation pressure. Recent growth concerns from real appreciation and softer 2026 GDP forecasts around 2–3.5 percent have not altered the policy bias, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 1,600+ by December amid gradual band adjustments and consensus projections in the low-to-mid 1,600s. Key near-term catalysts include October–December inflation releases and any BCRA tweaks to the intervention band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАргентина Официальный курс доллара США на конец 2026 года?
1600,00+ 78%
1500,00–1549,99 16.6%
1550,00–1599,99 16.5%
1450.00–1499.99 4.4%
$11,028 Объем
$11,028 Объем
<1250,00
3%
1250,00–1299,99
2%
1300,00–1349,99
3%
1350,00–1399,99
3%
1400,00–1449,99
4%
1450.00–1499.99
4%
1500,00–1549,99
10%
1550,00–1599,99
14%
1600,00+
73%
1600,00+ 78%
1500,00–1549,99 16.6%
1550,00–1599,99 16.5%
1450.00–1499.99 4.4%
$11,028 Объем
$11,028 Объем
<1250,00
3%
1250,00–1299,99
2%
1300,00–1349,99
3%
1350,00–1399,99
3%
1400,00–1449,99
4%
1450.00–1499.99
4%
1500,00–1549,99
10%
1550,00–1599,99
14%
1600,00+
73%
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,510–1,535 amid a managed band regime with inflation-linked crawl, reflects trader focus on the Milei administration’s strong-peso strategy to sustain disinflation. Monthly CPI has eased to around 1.7–2.2 percent, supporting annual inflation near 33 percent, while fiscal surpluses and BCRA dollar purchases bolster reserves and limit depreciation pressure. Recent growth concerns from real appreciation and softer 2026 GDP forecasts around 2–3.5 percent have not altered the policy bias, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 1,600+ by December amid gradual band adjustments and consensus projections in the low-to-mid 1,600s. Key near-term catalysts include October–December inflation releases and any BCRA tweaks to the intervention band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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