Brazil's Supreme Federal Court has never seen a justice removed by Senate impeachment, and traders see little prospect of that changing before 2027 given the two-thirds supermajority (54 of 81 votes) required plus a formal request from the Prosecutor-General. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has shelved more than 100 pending petitions, and a December 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes reinforced these gatekeeping rules. October 2026 elections are projected to leave any opposition bloc short of the necessary margin even after partial renewal of the chamber. Internal court conflicts and the Banco Master investigations have raised public distrust and prompted opposition rule-change proposals, yet these face the same Senate hurdles and limited remaining calendar time. Late reversals would require an unprecedented alignment of the Prosecutor-General, Senate leadership, and votes that current alignments make improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
4% вероятность
$91,769 Объем
$91,769 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
4% вероятность
$91,769 Объем
$91,769 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Supreme Federal Court has never seen a justice removed by Senate impeachment, and traders see little prospect of that changing before 2027 given the two-thirds supermajority (54 of 81 votes) required plus a formal request from the Prosecutor-General. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has shelved more than 100 pending petitions, and a December 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes reinforced these gatekeeping rules. October 2026 elections are projected to leave any opposition bloc short of the necessary margin even after partial renewal of the chamber. Internal court conflicts and the Banco Master investigations have raised public distrust and prompted opposition rule-change proposals, yet these face the same Senate hurdles and limited remaining calendar time. Late reversals would require an unprecedented alignment of the Prosecutor-General, Senate leadership, and votes that current alignments make improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Объем
$91,769Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Supreme Federal Court has never seen a justice removed by Senate impeachment, and traders see little prospect of that changing before 2027 given the two-thirds supermajority (54 of 81 votes) required plus a formal request from the Prosecutor-General. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has shelved more than 100 pending petitions, and a December 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes reinforced these gatekeeping rules. October 2026 elections are projected to leave any opposition bloc short of the necessary margin even after partial renewal of the chamber. Internal court conflicts and the Banco Master investigations have raised public distrust and prompted opposition rule-change proposals, yet these face the same Senate hurdles and limited remaining calendar time. Late reversals would require an unprecedented alignment of the Prosecutor-General, Senate leadership, and votes that current alignments make improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$91,769Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Supreme Federal Court has never seen a justice removed by Senate impeachment, and traders see little prospect of that changing before 2027 given the two-thirds supermajority (54 of 81 votes) required plus a formal request from the Prosecutor-General. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has shelved more than 100 pending petitions, and a December 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes reinforced these gatekeeping rules. October 2026 elections are projected to leave any opposition bloc short of the necessary margin even after partial renewal of the chamber. Internal court conflicts and the Banco Master investigations have raised public distrust and prompted opposition rule-change proposals, yet these face the same Senate hurdles and limited remaining calendar time. Late reversals would require an unprecedented alignment of the Prosecutor-General, Senate leadership, and votes that current alignments make improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы