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icon for Zack Polanski como líder do Partido Verde por...?

Zack Polanski como líder do Partido Verde por...?

icon for Zack Polanski como líder do Partido Verde por...?

Zack Polanski como líder do Partido Verde por...?

NOVO
31 out 2026
Polymarket

$1,465 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 31 de outubro

31 de outubro

$1,122 Vol.

16%

icon for 31 de dezembro

31 de dezembro

$343 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zack Polanski ceases to be Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Zack Polanski's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Zack Polanski and the Green Party of England and Wales; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Zack Polanski remains the entrenched leader of the Green Party of England and Wales following his September 2025 landslide election with 85% of the vote.** Under his “eco-populist” direction the party has tripled membership, secured its first Westminster by-election win in Gorton and Denton, and posted record local gains, though recent polling has eased and internal motions have flagged risks of stagnation amid a Labour recovery under new Prime Minister Andy Burnham. Polanski has confirmed he will contest the October 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election triggered by Keir Starmer’s resignation and has stated he intends to remain leader regardless of the result. Leadership elections occur every two years, with the next scheduled for 2027, and no formal challenges or resignation signals have emerged. Trader-implied probabilities for removal by late 2026 therefore reflect the absence of imminent institutional or electoral pressure that would force a change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zack Polanski ceases to be Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Zack Polanski's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Zack Polanski and the Green Party of England and Wales; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zack Polanski ceases to be Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Zack Polanski's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Zack Polanski and the Green Party of England and Wales; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,465
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 9:27 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zack Polanski ceases to be Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Zack Polanski's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Zack Polanski and the Green Party of England and Wales; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Zack Polanski remains the entrenched leader of the Green Party of England and Wales following his September 2025 landslide election with 85% of the vote.** Under his “eco-populist” direction the party has tripled membership, secured its first Westminster by-election win in Gorton and Denton, and posted record local gains, though recent polling has eased and internal motions have flagged risks of stagnation amid a Labour recovery under new Prime Minister Andy Burnham. Polanski has confirmed he will contest the October 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election triggered by Keir Starmer’s resignation and has stated he intends to remain leader regardless of the result. Leadership elections occur every two years, with the next scheduled for 2027, and no formal challenges or resignation signals have emerged. Trader-implied probabilities for removal by late 2026 therefore reflect the absence of imminent institutional or electoral pressure that would force a change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zack Polanski ceases to be Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Zack Polanski's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Zack Polanski and the Green Party of England and Wales; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zack Polanski ceases to be Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Zack Polanski's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Zack Polanski and the Green Party of England and Wales; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,465
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 9:27 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Zack Polanski como líder do Partido Verde por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de outubro" at 16%, followed by "31 de dezembro" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Zack Polanski como líder do Partido Verde por...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Zack Polanski como líder do Partido Verde por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Zack Polanski como líder do Partido Verde por...?" is "31 de outubro" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Zack Polanski como líder do Partido Verde por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.