Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations, including its June confidential S-1 filing, Nasdaq selection, and targeted mid-October roadshow at a roughly $2 trillion valuation, stand in sharp contrast to OpenAI’s recent decision to defer any listing until 2027. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman cited the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work amid heightened regulatory and public scrutiny as the key reason for ruling out a 2026 debut. This timing gap, reinforced by Anthropic’s $65 billion Series H round and credit facility arrangements, underpins the 94% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic going public first. Traders should still watch for potential slips in Anthropic’s prospectus release or broader market volatility that could compress its pre-election window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoO IPO da Anthropic ou da OpenAI será o primeiro?
O IPO da Anthropic ou da OpenAI será o primeiro?
Anthropic
94% chance
$366,153 Vol.
$366,153 Vol.
30 dez 2027
Anthropic
94% chance
$366,153 Vol.
$366,153 Vol.
30 dez 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations, including its June confidential S-1 filing, Nasdaq selection, and targeted mid-October roadshow at a roughly $2 trillion valuation, stand in sharp contrast to OpenAI’s recent decision to defer any listing until 2027. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman cited the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work amid heightened regulatory and public scrutiny as the key reason for ruling out a 2026 debut. This timing gap, reinforced by Anthropic’s $65 billion Series H round and credit facility arrangements, underpins the 94% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic going public first. Traders should still watch for potential slips in Anthropic’s prospectus release or broader market volatility that could compress its pre-election window.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$366,153Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations, including its June confidential S-1 filing, Nasdaq selection, and targeted mid-October roadshow at a roughly $2 trillion valuation, stand in sharp contrast to OpenAI’s recent decision to defer any listing until 2027. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman cited the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work amid heightened regulatory and public scrutiny as the key reason for ruling out a 2026 debut. This timing gap, reinforced by Anthropic’s $65 billion Series H round and credit facility arrangements, underpins the 94% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic going public first. Traders should still watch for potential slips in Anthropic’s prospectus release or broader market volatility that could compress its pre-election window.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$366,153Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations, including its June confidential S-1 filing, Nasdaq selection, and targeted mid-October roadshow at a roughly $2 trillion valuation, stand in sharp contrast to OpenAI’s recent decision to defer any listing until 2027. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman cited the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work amid heightened regulatory and public scrutiny as the key reason for ruling out a 2026 debut. This timing gap, reinforced by Anthropic’s $65 billion Series H round and credit facility arrangements, underpins the 94% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic going public first. Traders should still watch for potential slips in Anthropic’s prospectus release or broader market volatility that could compress its pre-election window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
A oferta pública inicial da Anthropic ocorrerá em outubro de 2026 (ET)?
63%
Sim
Anthropic ou OpenAI: qual terá o maior valor de mercado no fechamento do IPO?
69%
Anthropic
O valor de mercado da Anthropic será de US$600 bilhões ou mais no fechamento do mercado no dia do IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027?
96%
Sim
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions