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icon for Quem vai ao casamento de Taylor Swift e Travis Kelce?

Quem vai ao casamento de Taylor Swift e Travis Kelce?

icon for Quem vai ao casamento de Taylor Swift e Travis Kelce?

Quem vai ao casamento de Taylor Swift e Travis Kelce?

$1,394,665 Vol.

30 dez 2026
Polymarket

$1,394,665 Vol.

Polymarket

Max Martin

$175,624 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count. Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s July 3, 2026, wedding at Madison Square Garden drew intense trader focus on attendee probabilities due to the couple’s high-profile circle and strict privacy measures, including NDAs for roughly 1,000 guests. Following their August 2025 engagement, reports highlighted confirmed family members such as Austin Swift and Jason Kelce alongside close friends like Selena Gomez, Gigi Hadid, the Haim sisters, and Emma Stone, while NFL teammates including Patrick Mahomes and select musicians were widely expected. Industry dynamics favored a star-studded mix of music, film, and sports figures given Swift’s Eras Tour network and Kelce’s Chiefs connections, yet the lack of an official guest list and reliance on insider speculation created significant uncertainty around less-verified names. Pre-event catalysts like city permits for a large-scale production at the venue shaped sentiment, with traders weighing historical precedent for celebrity weddings against the couple’s deliberate secrecy.

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding.

If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
Volume
$1,394,665
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 6:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Resultado proposto: Não

Contestado

Proposta de resultado

Disputa final

Final

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count. Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s July 3, 2026, wedding at Madison Square Garden drew intense trader focus on attendee probabilities due to the couple’s high-profile circle and strict privacy measures, including NDAs for roughly 1,000 guests. Following their August 2025 engagement, reports highlighted confirmed family members such as Austin Swift and Jason Kelce alongside close friends like Selena Gomez, Gigi Hadid, the Haim sisters, and Emma Stone, while NFL teammates including Patrick Mahomes and select musicians were widely expected. Industry dynamics favored a star-studded mix of music, film, and sports figures given Swift’s Eras Tour network and Kelce’s Chiefs connections, yet the lack of an official guest list and reliance on insider speculation created significant uncertainty around less-verified names. Pre-event catalysts like city permits for a large-scale production at the venue shaped sentiment, with traders weighing historical precedent for celebrity weddings against the couple’s deliberate secrecy.

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding.

If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
Volume
$1,394,665
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 6:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Resultado proposto: Não

Contestado

Proposta de resultado

Disputa final

Final

NFL 2026
Odds e previsões

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem vai ao casamento de Taylor Swift e Travis Kelce?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jack Antonoff" at 100%, followed by "Selena Gomez" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem vai ao casamento de Taylor Swift e Travis Kelce?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem vai ao casamento de Taylor Swift e Travis Kelce?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem vai ao casamento de Taylor Swift e Travis Kelce?" is "Jack Antonoff" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Selena Gomez" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem vai ao casamento de Taylor Swift e Travis Kelce?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.