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icon for Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?

Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?

icon for Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?

Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?

Sim

6% chance
Polymarket

$18,813 Vol.

Sim

6% chance
Polymarket

$18,813 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly stated he will consult his wife about a potential 2028 presidential bid only after the November 2026 midterms, emphasizing that he avoids early decisions and remains focused on his current role and Republican midterm efforts. As of mid-September 2026, Vance continues high-profile activities including convention speeches, donor engagement, and policy advocacy that position him as a leading Republican contender, with polls and party insiders viewing him as the frontrunner. President Trump has offered supportive private comments without endorsing any successor publicly. These factors indicate no imminent announcement ruling out a 2028 run, aligning with trader consensus that such a statement is unlikely before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$18,813
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly stated he will consult his wife about a potential 2028 presidential bid only after the November 2026 midterms, emphasizing that he avoids early decisions and remains focused on his current role and Republican midterm efforts. As of mid-September 2026, Vance continues high-profile activities including convention speeches, donor engagement, and policy advocacy that position him as a leading Republican contender, with polls and party insiders viewing him as the frontrunner. President Trump has offered supportive private comments without endorsing any successor publicly. These factors indicate no imminent announcement ruling out a 2028 run, aligning with trader consensus that such a statement is unlikely before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$18,813
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à Presidência em 2028 neste ano?" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 6¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 6% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?" has generated $18.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?" is "Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à Presidência em 2028 neste ano?" at just 6%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Vance anuncia que não concorrerá à presidência em 2028 este ano?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.