Jim Clyburn holds a commanding lead in the SC-06 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook PVI and historical voting patterns favoring the party by wide margins. As the long-serving incumbent first elected in 1992, Clyburn secured his party’s nomination with over 90 percent in the June 2026 primary and benefits from established name recognition, fundraising, and voter base in a majority-minority district spanning parts of Charleston, Columbia, and rural counties. Republican nominee John Peterson, who won his primary, faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters, with limited crossover appeal. Late developments such as health concerns, major scandals, or an unexpected national partisan shift could alter the trajectory, though current trader consensus prices in the low likelihood of such changes before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSC-06 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$34,861 Vol.
$34,861 Vol.
Jim Clyburn (D)
95%
John Peterson (R)
6%
$34,861 Vol.
$34,861 Vol.
Jim Clyburn (D)
95%
John Peterson (R)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jim Clyburn holds a commanding lead in the SC-06 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook PVI and historical voting patterns favoring the party by wide margins. As the long-serving incumbent first elected in 1992, Clyburn secured his party’s nomination with over 90 percent in the June 2026 primary and benefits from established name recognition, fundraising, and voter base in a majority-minority district spanning parts of Charleston, Columbia, and rural counties. Republican nominee John Peterson, who won his primary, faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters, with limited crossover appeal. Late developments such as health concerns, major scandals, or an unexpected national partisan shift could alter the trajectory, though current trader consensus prices in the low likelihood of such changes before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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