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icon for Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canadá

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canadá

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 56%

Benoit Clermont 35%

Anthony Lavoie 28.6%

Polymarket
NOVO

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard 56%

Benoit Clermont 35%

Anthony Lavoie 28.6%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Guillaume Cliche-Rivard

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard

$2,721 Vol.

57%

icon for Benoit Clermont

Benoit Clermont

$1,338 Vol.

35%

icon for Anthony Lavoie

Anthony Lavoie

$1,862 Vol.

29%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Montreal riding of Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne, the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election features a close contest between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Guillaume Cliche-Rivard and Liberal challenger Benoit Clermont, with CAQ candidate Anthony Lavoie also listed. Cliche-Rivard captured the seat in the 2023 by-election after long Liberal dominance, capitalizing on local priorities such as housing affordability and immigration policy in this urban district. Recent projections from models like 338Canada treat the race as a toss-up, with vote shares clustered tightly amid the short provincial campaign that began in late August. Trader consensus reflects limited separation driven by incumbency visibility, ground organization, and broader party standings, while factors such as turnout among progressive and anglophone voters, candidate debates, or shifts in provincial polling could widen gaps before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$5,921
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Montreal riding of Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne, the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election features a close contest between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Guillaume Cliche-Rivard and Liberal challenger Benoit Clermont, with CAQ candidate Anthony Lavoie also listed. Cliche-Rivard captured the seat in the 2023 by-election after long Liberal dominance, capitalizing on local priorities such as housing affordability and immigration policy in this urban district. Recent projections from models like 338Canada treat the race as a toss-up, with vote shares clustered tightly amid the short provincial campaign that began in late August. Trader consensus reflects limited separation driven by incumbency visibility, ground organization, and broader party standings, while factors such as turnout among progressive and anglophone voters, candidate debates, or shifts in provincial polling could widen gaps before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$5,921
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Guillaume Cliche-Rivard" at 56%, followed by "Benoit Clermont" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Guillaume Cliche-Rivard" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Benoit Clermont" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.