Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+5 partisan lean and his established fundraising edge of over $3.3 million compared with Democratic nominee Don Leonard’s roughly $600,000. Carey advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Leonard narrowly defeated former state representative Adam Miller in the Democratic contest. A June Hart Research poll commissioned by House Majority PAC showed Carey leading Leonard 45% to 40%, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as likely or solid Republican. The district’s suburban and rural mix around Columbus has historically favored Republicans, though recent generic ballot trends and presidential favorability data in the area introduce some uncertainty for the final weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados OH-15
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados OH-15
$15,469 Vol.
$15,469 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Carey (R)
77%
Don Leonard (D)
24%
$15,469 Vol.
$15,469 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Carey (R)
$4,967 Vol.
77%
Don Leonard (D)
$10,502 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+5 partisan lean and his established fundraising edge of over $3.3 million compared with Democratic nominee Don Leonard’s roughly $600,000. Carey advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Leonard narrowly defeated former state representative Adam Miller in the Democratic contest. A June Hart Research poll commissioned by House Majority PAC showed Carey leading Leonard 45% to 40%, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as likely or solid Republican. The district’s suburban and rural mix around Columbus has historically favored Republicans, though recent generic ballot trends and presidential favorability data in the area introduce some uncertainty for the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$15,469Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+5 partisan lean and his established fundraising edge of over $3.3 million compared with Democratic nominee Don Leonard’s roughly $600,000. Carey advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Leonard narrowly defeated former state representative Adam Miller in the Democratic contest. A June Hart Research poll commissioned by House Majority PAC showed Carey leading Leonard 45% to 40%, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as likely or solid Republican. The district’s suburban and rural mix around Columbus has historically favored Republicans, though recent generic ballot trends and presidential favorability data in the area introduce some uncertainty for the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,469Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+5 partisan lean and his established fundraising edge of over $3.3 million compared with Democratic nominee Don Leonard’s roughly $600,000. Carey advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Leonard narrowly defeated former state representative Adam Miller in the Democratic contest. A June Hart Research poll commissioned by House Majority PAC showed Carey leading Leonard 45% to 40%, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as likely or solid Republican. The district’s suburban and rural mix around Columbus has historically favored Republicans, though recent generic ballot trends and presidential favorability data in the area introduce some uncertainty for the final weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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