Kaptur’s long incumbency since 1983 and history of outperforming the district’s partisan baseline continue to anchor her 74% market share ahead of the November 3 general election. Redistricting added more conservative inland counties, shifting the 2026 map so that Trump carried it by roughly 10.6 points in 2024, while Merrin secured the Republican nomination and Trump’s endorsement after the May primary. Kaptur holds a substantial fundraising edge, reporting $4.3 million raised versus Merrin’s $1.5 million as of June 30. Recent developments include Merrin’s September appearance at the Republican National Committee convention highlighting economic and border contrasts, though no new public polling has altered the competitive positioning. Forecasters rate the race across toss-up to lean-D or tilt-R categories, reflecting uncertainty tied to turnout and national conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$33,660 Vol.
$33,660 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Marcy Kaptur (D)
74%
Derek Merrin (R)
26%
$33,660 Vol.
$33,660 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Marcy Kaptur (D)
$6,984 Vol.
74%
Derek Merrin (R)
$26,676 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kaptur’s long incumbency since 1983 and history of outperforming the district’s partisan baseline continue to anchor her 74% market share ahead of the November 3 general election. Redistricting added more conservative inland counties, shifting the 2026 map so that Trump carried it by roughly 10.6 points in 2024, while Merrin secured the Republican nomination and Trump’s endorsement after the May primary. Kaptur holds a substantial fundraising edge, reporting $4.3 million raised versus Merrin’s $1.5 million as of June 30. Recent developments include Merrin’s September appearance at the Republican National Committee convention highlighting economic and border contrasts, though no new public polling has altered the competitive positioning. Forecasters rate the race across toss-up to lean-D or tilt-R categories, reflecting uncertainty tied to turnout and national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$33,660Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kaptur’s long incumbency since 1983 and history of outperforming the district’s partisan baseline continue to anchor her 74% market share ahead of the November 3 general election. Redistricting added more conservative inland counties, shifting the 2026 map so that Trump carried it by roughly 10.6 points in 2024, while Merrin secured the Republican nomination and Trump’s endorsement after the May primary. Kaptur holds a substantial fundraising edge, reporting $4.3 million raised versus Merrin’s $1.5 million as of June 30. Recent developments include Merrin’s September appearance at the Republican National Committee convention highlighting economic and border contrasts, though no new public polling has altered the competitive positioning. Forecasters rate the race across toss-up to lean-D or tilt-R categories, reflecting uncertainty tied to turnout and national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,660Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kaptur’s long incumbency since 1983 and history of outperforming the district’s partisan baseline continue to anchor her 74% market share ahead of the November 3 general election. Redistricting added more conservative inland counties, shifting the 2026 map so that Trump carried it by roughly 10.6 points in 2024, while Merrin secured the Republican nomination and Trump’s endorsement after the May primary. Kaptur holds a substantial fundraising edge, reporting $4.3 million raised versus Merrin’s $1.5 million as of June 30. Recent developments include Merrin’s September appearance at the Republican National Committee convention highlighting economic and border contrasts, though no new public polling has altered the competitive positioning. Forecasters rate the race across toss-up to lean-D or tilt-R categories, reflecting uncertainty tied to turnout and national conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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