The Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented vote with the PQ leading at roughly 28%, followed closely by the Liberals and CAQ near 22-24%, while the PCQ under Éric Duhaime holds 15-17% support in recent polls, an all-time high for the party in some surveys. This level of backing, concentrated in the Quebec City region where the PCQ often leads or places second, supports seat projections in the 7-18 range depending on final riding-level splits and turnout. Recent developments including Duhaime’s emphasis on tax cuts, regional autonomy, and an endorsement from former Lévis mayor Gilles Lehouillier have sustained momentum without producing a decisive breakout. Trader odds across the 8-13 seat bands reflect the narrow margins in competitive ridings and the potential for late shifts in a multi-party contest to alter PCQ efficiency.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado8-10 22%
17+ 21.1%
5-7 19%
11-13 18%
NOVO
NOVO
5 out 2026
<5
4%
5-7
17%
8-10
22%
11-13
18%
14-16
10%
17+
18%
8-10 22%
17+ 21.1%
5-7 19%
11-13 18%
NOVO
NOVO
5 out 2026
<5
$1,979 Vol.
4%
5-7
$838 Vol.
17%
8-10
$1,374 Vol.
22%
11-13
$1,439 Vol.
18%
14-16
$1,017 Vol.
10%
17+
$1,072 Vol.
18%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented vote with the PQ leading at roughly 28%, followed closely by the Liberals and CAQ near 22-24%, while the PCQ under Éric Duhaime holds 15-17% support in recent polls, an all-time high for the party in some surveys. This level of backing, concentrated in the Quebec City region where the PCQ often leads or places second, supports seat projections in the 7-18 range depending on final riding-level splits and turnout. Recent developments including Duhaime’s emphasis on tax cuts, regional autonomy, and an endorsement from former Lévis mayor Gilles Lehouillier have sustained momentum without producing a decisive breakout. Trader odds across the 8-13 seat bands reflect the narrow margins in competitive ridings and the potential for late shifts in a multi-party contest to alter PCQ efficiency.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Volume
$7,719Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented vote with the PQ leading at roughly 28%, followed closely by the Liberals and CAQ near 22-24%, while the PCQ under Éric Duhaime holds 15-17% support in recent polls, an all-time high for the party in some surveys. This level of backing, concentrated in the Quebec City region where the PCQ often leads or places second, supports seat projections in the 7-18 range depending on final riding-level splits and turnout. Recent developments including Duhaime’s emphasis on tax cuts, regional autonomy, and an endorsement from former Lévis mayor Gilles Lehouillier have sustained momentum without producing a decisive breakout. Trader odds across the 8-13 seat bands reflect the narrow margins in competitive ridings and the potential for late shifts in a multi-party contest to alter PCQ efficiency.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$7,719Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented vote with the PQ leading at roughly 28%, followed closely by the Liberals and CAQ near 22-24%, while the PCQ under Éric Duhaime holds 15-17% support in recent polls, an all-time high for the party in some surveys. This level of backing, concentrated in the Quebec City region where the PCQ often leads or places second, supports seat projections in the 7-18 range depending on final riding-level splits and turnout. Recent developments including Duhaime’s emphasis on tax cuts, regional autonomy, and an endorsement from former Lévis mayor Gilles Lehouillier have sustained momentum without producing a decisive breakout. Trader odds across the 8-13 seat bands reflect the narrow margins in competitive ridings and the potential for late shifts in a multi-party contest to alter PCQ efficiency.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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