Rebeca Grynspan holds the leading position in trader assessments for the next UN Secretary-General due to her consistent performance in Security Council straw polls, including a narrow edge in the third round on September 18 with nine encourage votes. As the current UNCTAD head and former Costa Rican vice president, she benefits from early nomination, full-time campaigning after taking leave, and broad appeal within the Latin American and Caribbean group under regional rotation norms. Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett follows closely as Guyana’s UN ambassador, reflecting strong but not decisive support in recent votes. The process requires consensus among permanent Security Council members amid ongoing consultations ahead of High-Level Week, with multiple rounds expected before any recommendation to the General Assembly. Other candidates trail due to lower encourage tallies and higher discourage votes in the latest polling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rebeca Grynspan 44%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 25.7%
María Fernanda Espinosa 11.2%
Rafael Grossi 3.8%
$200,633 Vol.
$200,633 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan
44%

Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
26%

María Fernanda Espinosa
11%

Rafael Grossi
4%

Macky Sall
3%

Michelle Bachelet
1%

Olara Otunnu
1%

Ivonne de Baki
1%
Rebeca Grynspan 44%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 25.7%
María Fernanda Espinosa 11.2%
Rafael Grossi 3.8%
$200,633 Vol.
$200,633 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan
44%

Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
26%

María Fernanda Espinosa
11%

Rafael Grossi
4%

Macky Sall
3%

Michelle Bachelet
1%

Olara Otunnu
1%

Ivonne de Baki
1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rebeca Grynspan holds the leading position in trader assessments for the next UN Secretary-General due to her consistent performance in Security Council straw polls, including a narrow edge in the third round on September 18 with nine encourage votes. As the current UNCTAD head and former Costa Rican vice president, she benefits from early nomination, full-time campaigning after taking leave, and broad appeal within the Latin American and Caribbean group under regional rotation norms. Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett follows closely as Guyana’s UN ambassador, reflecting strong but not decisive support in recent votes. The process requires consensus among permanent Security Council members amid ongoing consultations ahead of High-Level Week, with multiple rounds expected before any recommendation to the General Assembly. Other candidates trail due to lower encourage tallies and higher discourage votes in the latest polling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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