Bob Onder's commanding position in the MO-03 race stems from the district's established Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 to R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. As incumbent, Onder secured the Republican nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with 66.3% against a single challenger, while Democrat Bethany Mann advanced with 69.1% on her side. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, and Onder maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Trader consensus at 92.5% aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as health events, major scandals, or an unforeseen national partisan shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
$31,354 Vol.
$31,354 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bob Onder (R)
93%
Bethany Mann (D)
4%
$31,354 Vol.
$31,354 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bob Onder (R)
$13,047 Vol.
93%
Bethany Mann (D)
$18,307 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Onder's commanding position in the MO-03 race stems from the district's established Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 to R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. As incumbent, Onder secured the Republican nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with 66.3% against a single challenger, while Democrat Bethany Mann advanced with 69.1% on her side. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, and Onder maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Trader consensus at 92.5% aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as health events, major scandals, or an unforeseen national partisan shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$31,354Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Onder's commanding position in the MO-03 race stems from the district's established Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 to R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. As incumbent, Onder secured the Republican nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with 66.3% against a single challenger, while Democrat Bethany Mann advanced with 69.1% on her side. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, and Onder maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Trader consensus at 92.5% aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as health events, major scandals, or an unforeseen national partisan shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,354Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bob Onder's commanding position in the MO-03 race stems from the district's established Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 to R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. As incumbent, Onder secured the Republican nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with 66.3% against a single challenger, while Democrat Bethany Mann advanced with 69.1% on her side. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, and Onder maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Trader consensus at 92.5% aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as health events, major scandals, or an unforeseen national partisan shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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