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icon for MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
Desporto·Aaron Judge

MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?

icon for MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
Desporto·Aaron Judge

MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?

Judge

<1% chance
Polymarket

$30,929 Vol.

Judge

<1% chance
Polymarket

$30,929 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Soto's established elite plate discipline, reflected in a 16.3% walk rate and 73 walks through 449 plate appearances, drives the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability for him to finish ahead of Judge. The Mets outfielder consistently works deep counts and avoids chasing, sustaining elevated on-base production even in a down Mets season. Judge, limited to 66 games and 283 plate appearances amid calf and leg issues, trails with 43 walks despite his own strong per-game discipline. With the regular season concluding September 28, the remaining schedule offers minimal opportunity for volume-based catch-up. Late surges in Judge's availability or an unexpected Soto injury could narrow the gap, yet current form and injury reports leave little realistic path for reversal.

This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,929
Data de Término
16 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Soto's established elite plate discipline, reflected in a 16.3% walk rate and 73 walks through 449 plate appearances, drives the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability for him to finish ahead of Judge. The Mets outfielder consistently works deep counts and avoids chasing, sustaining elevated on-base production even in a down Mets season. Judge, limited to 66 games and 283 plate appearances amid calf and leg issues, trails with 43 walks despite his own strong per-game discipline. With the regular season concluding September 28, the remaining schedule offers minimal opportunity for volume-based catch-up. Late surges in Judge's availability or an unexpected Soto injury could narrow the gap, yet current form and injury reports leave little realistic path for reversal.

This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,929
Data de Término
16 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?" has generated $30.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?" is "MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?" at just 1%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.