Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman holds a commanding position in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the area's consistent Republican tilt and his primary victory with 68 percent of the vote. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's performance in recent cycles and Stutzman's 2024 margin. Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in an uncontested primary but trails significantly in fundraising, with Stutzman reporting over $800,000 raised compared to her roughly $136,000. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including incumbency, partisan composition, and limited competitive indicators. A shift would require major late-cycle developments such as unexpected turnout changes or external events altering the race's dynamics before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara IN-03
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara IN-03
$24,242 Vol.
$24,242 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Marlin Stutzman (R)
95%
Kelly Thompson (D)
5%
$24,242 Vol.
$24,242 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Marlin Stutzman (R)
$4,666 Vol.
95%
Kelly Thompson (D)
$19,576 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman holds a commanding position in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the area's consistent Republican tilt and his primary victory with 68 percent of the vote. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's performance in recent cycles and Stutzman's 2024 margin. Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in an uncontested primary but trails significantly in fundraising, with Stutzman reporting over $800,000 raised compared to her roughly $136,000. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including incumbency, partisan composition, and limited competitive indicators. A shift would require major late-cycle developments such as unexpected turnout changes or external events altering the race's dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,242Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman holds a commanding position in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the area's consistent Republican tilt and his primary victory with 68 percent of the vote. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's performance in recent cycles and Stutzman's 2024 margin. Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in an uncontested primary but trails significantly in fundraising, with Stutzman reporting over $800,000 raised compared to her roughly $136,000. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including incumbency, partisan composition, and limited competitive indicators. A shift would require major late-cycle developments such as unexpected turnout changes or external events altering the race's dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,242Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman holds a commanding position in Indiana's 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the area's consistent Republican tilt and his primary victory with 68 percent of the vote. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's performance in recent cycles and Stutzman's 2024 margin. Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in an uncontested primary but trails significantly in fundraising, with Stutzman reporting over $800,000 raised compared to her roughly $136,000. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including incumbency, partisan composition, and limited competitive indicators. A shift would require major late-cycle developments such as unexpected turnout changes or external events altering the race's dynamics before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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