USGS seismic monitoring recorded exactly one magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquake worldwide during September 14–20, 2026—a 6.5 event on September 17 in the Bering Sea region west of Nikolski, Alaska, at intermediate depth. This aligns with the market’s 99.4% implied probability for a count of one, reflecting traders’ access to real-time NEIC data and the typical weekly variability around the long-term average of roughly two to three M6–6.9 events. While global catalogs show occasional clusters or quiet periods due to normal fluctuation in tectonic strain release, no additional qualifying events met the threshold in official preliminary locations. Updated final catalogs or aftershock reclassifications remain the primary remaining variables that could alter resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuantos terremotos de 6,5 ou mais ocorreram em todo o mundo entre 14 e 20 de setembro?
Quantos terremotos de 6,5 ou mais ocorreram em todo o mundo entre 14 e 20 de setembro?
1 99.4%
2 <1%
0 <1%
$15,690 Vol.
$15,690 Vol.
21 set 2026
0
<1%
1
99%
2
1%
1 99.4%
2 <1%
0 <1%
$15,690 Vol.
$15,690 Vol.
21 set 2026
0
$5,878 Vol.
<1%
1
$5,184 Vol.
99%
2
$2,867 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between September 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, this market will resolve according to the data published at that time.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.USGS seismic monitoring recorded exactly one magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquake worldwide during September 14–20, 2026—a 6.5 event on September 17 in the Bering Sea region west of Nikolski, Alaska, at intermediate depth. This aligns with the market’s 99.4% implied probability for a count of one, reflecting traders’ access to real-time NEIC data and the typical weekly variability around the long-term average of roughly two to three M6–6.9 events. While global catalogs show occasional clusters or quiet periods due to normal fluctuation in tectonic strain release, no additional qualifying events met the threshold in official preliminary locations. Updated final catalogs or aftershock reclassifications remain the primary remaining variables that could alter resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between September 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, this market will resolve according to the data published at that time.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, this market will resolve according to the data published at that time.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
Volume
$15,690Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 4:53 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between September 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, this market will resolve according to the data published at that time.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.USGS seismic monitoring recorded exactly one magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquake worldwide during September 14–20, 2026—a 6.5 event on September 17 in the Bering Sea region west of Nikolski, Alaska, at intermediate depth. This aligns with the market’s 99.4% implied probability for a count of one, reflecting traders’ access to real-time NEIC data and the typical weekly variability around the long-term average of roughly two to three M6–6.9 events. While global catalogs show occasional clusters or quiet periods due to normal fluctuation in tectonic strain release, no additional qualifying events met the threshold in official preliminary locations. Updated final catalogs or aftershock reclassifications remain the primary remaining variables that could alter resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between September 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, this market will resolve according to the data published at that time.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, this market will resolve according to the data published at that time.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volume
$15,690Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 4:53 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...USGS seismic monitoring recorded exactly one magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquake worldwide during September 14–20, 2026—a 6.5 event on September 17 in the Bering Sea region west of Nikolski, Alaska, at intermediate depth. This aligns with the market’s 99.4% implied probability for a count of one, reflecting traders’ access to real-time NEIC data and the typical weekly variability around the long-term average of roughly two to three M6–6.9 events. While global catalogs show occasional clusters or quiet periods due to normal fluctuation in tectonic strain release, no additional qualifying events met the threshold in official preliminary locations. Updated final catalogs or aftershock reclassifications remain the primary remaining variables that could alter resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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