The market-implied odds reflect a near-certain daily high of 29°C in Paris on September 14, supported by official observational data from Météo-France and regional weather stations showing temperatures peaking at that level under stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome exceeds typical mid-September climatological averages of 20–23°C, driven by recent warm air advection and clear skies that limited cooling. Forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with surface readings throughout the day, leaving minimal room for revision. Final verification of the maximum temperature threshold remains the key resolution factor, though any post-analysis adjustments would need to exceed established measurement uncertainty ranges to alter the result.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 14 de setembro?
29°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,004 Vol.
$74,004 Vol.
14 set 2026
22°C ou menos
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Sim
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C ou mais
Não
29°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,004 Vol.
$74,004 Vol.
14 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$2,607 Vol.
Não
23°C
$1,820 Vol.
Não
24°C
$140 Vol.
Não
25°C
$4,025 Vol.
Não
26°C
$5,954 Vol.
Não
27°C
$8,346 Vol.
Não
28°C
$34,488 Vol.
Não
29°C
$7,646 Vol.
Sim
30°C
$3,991 Vol.
Não
31°C
$3,422 Vol.
Não
32°C ou mais
$1,566 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect a near-certain daily high of 29°C in Paris on September 14, supported by official observational data from Météo-France and regional weather stations showing temperatures peaking at that level under stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome exceeds typical mid-September climatological averages of 20–23°C, driven by recent warm air advection and clear skies that limited cooling. Forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with surface readings throughout the day, leaving minimal room for revision. Final verification of the maximum temperature threshold remains the key resolution factor, though any post-analysis adjustments would need to exceed established measurement uncertainty ranges to alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$74,004Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect a near-certain daily high of 29°C in Paris on September 14, supported by official observational data from Météo-France and regional weather stations showing temperatures peaking at that level under stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome exceeds typical mid-September climatological averages of 20–23°C, driven by recent warm air advection and clear skies that limited cooling. Forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with surface readings throughout the day, leaving minimal room for revision. Final verification of the maximum temperature threshold remains the key resolution factor, though any post-analysis adjustments would need to exceed established measurement uncertainty ranges to alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$74,004Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The market-implied odds reflect a near-certain daily high of 29°C in Paris on September 14, supported by official observational data from Météo-France and regional weather stations showing temperatures peaking at that level under stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome exceeds typical mid-September climatological averages of 20–23°C, driven by recent warm air advection and clear skies that limited cooling. Forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with surface readings throughout the day, leaving minimal room for revision. Final verification of the maximum temperature threshold remains the key resolution factor, though any post-analysis adjustments would need to exceed established measurement uncertainty ranges to alter the result.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions