Recent ensemble forecasts from global models, including GFS runs updated on September 13, indicate a daytime maximum near 20–21°C in Munich on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and northwest winds. These conditions, driven by a passing frontal system, limit solar heating and keep values close to the long-term September average high of roughly 19.8°C while exceeding the cooler readings seen earlier in the week. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 21°C and 32% for 22°C, aligns with this model agreement, as lower outcomes like 20°C hold only 11% amid limited upside potential from clearing skies. Final official readings from DWD stations will resolve the market within hours of peak heating.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 14 de setembro?
21°C 55%
22°C 31%
20°C 11%
23°C 6%
$16,551 Vol.
$16,551 Vol.
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
11%
21°C
55%
22°C
31%
23°C
6%
24°C ou mais
<1%
21°C 55%
22°C 31%
20°C 11%
23°C 6%
$16,551 Vol.
$16,551 Vol.
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
11%
21°C
55%
22°C
31%
23°C
6%
24°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models, including GFS runs updated on September 13, indicate a daytime maximum near 20–21°C in Munich on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and northwest winds. These conditions, driven by a passing frontal system, limit solar heating and keep values close to the long-term September average high of roughly 19.8°C while exceeding the cooler readings seen earlier in the week. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 21°C and 32% for 22°C, aligns with this model agreement, as lower outcomes like 20°C hold only 11% amid limited upside potential from clearing skies. Final official readings from DWD stations will resolve the market within hours of peak heating.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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