Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies including Spain’s AEMET point to a maximum of 36 °C in Madrid on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light winds, and negligible precipitation risk, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This value sits well above the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 27 °C for the date and exceeds the all-time September 15 record of 34.3 °C set in 1987. Traders have aligned with the latest high-resolution model runs showing minimal spread and no signs of cooling advection or increased cloud cover through the afternoon peak. A modest downward revision in the final AEMET or ECMWF update, localized measurement differences at official stations, or an unanticipated sea-breeze effect could still shift the verified maximum into the 34–35 °C range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 15 de setembro?
36°C 100.0%
31°C ou menos <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$36,222 Vol.
$36,222 Vol.
15 set 2026
31°C ou menos
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Sim
37°C
Não
38°C
Não
39°C
Não
40°C
Não
41°C ou mais
Não
36°C 100.0%
31°C ou menos <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$36,222 Vol.
$36,222 Vol.
15 set 2026
31°C ou menos
$660 Vol.
Não
32°C
$549 Vol.
Não
33°C
$990 Vol.
Não
34°C
$2,678 Vol.
Não
35°C
$8,807 Vol.
Não
36°C
$8,393 Vol.
Sim
37°C
$9,928 Vol.
Não
38°C
$2,731 Vol.
Não
39°C
$1,147 Vol.
Não
40°C
$138 Vol.
Não
41°C ou mais
$201 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies including Spain’s AEMET point to a maximum of 36 °C in Madrid on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light winds, and negligible precipitation risk, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This value sits well above the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 27 °C for the date and exceeds the all-time September 15 record of 34.3 °C set in 1987. Traders have aligned with the latest high-resolution model runs showing minimal spread and no signs of cooling advection or increased cloud cover through the afternoon peak. A modest downward revision in the final AEMET or ECMWF update, localized measurement differences at official stations, or an unanticipated sea-breeze effect could still shift the verified maximum into the 34–35 °C range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$36,222Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies including Spain’s AEMET point to a maximum of 36 °C in Madrid on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light winds, and negligible precipitation risk, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This value sits well above the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 27 °C for the date and exceeds the all-time September 15 record of 34.3 °C set in 1987. Traders have aligned with the latest high-resolution model runs showing minimal spread and no signs of cooling advection or increased cloud cover through the afternoon peak. A modest downward revision in the final AEMET or ECMWF update, localized measurement differences at official stations, or an unanticipated sea-breeze effect could still shift the verified maximum into the 34–35 °C range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,222Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies including Spain’s AEMET point to a maximum of 36 °C in Madrid on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light winds, and negligible precipitation risk, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This value sits well above the 1991–2020 average high of roughly 27 °C for the date and exceeds the all-time September 15 record of 34.3 °C set in 1987. Traders have aligned with the latest high-resolution model runs showing minimal spread and no signs of cooling advection or increased cloud cover through the afternoon peak. A modest downward revision in the final AEMET or ECMWF update, localized measurement differences at official stations, or an unanticipated sea-breeze effect could still shift the verified maximum into the 34–35 °C range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions