Traders assign near-certain probability to a 37°C high in Karachi on September 20 because Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models consistently project a daytime peak near that threshold under mostly clear skies, light westerly to northwesterly flow, and typical post-monsoon humidity. Official guidance notes sea breezes moderating extremes while afternoon temperatures climb from overnight lows near 26°C, aligning with climatological September averages around 35°C yet nudged higher by current atmospheric patterns. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated real-time observations and model consensus rather than speculation. A stronger-than-expected sea breeze, increased cloud cover, or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C before final verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Karachi em 20 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Karachi em 20 de setembro?
37°C 100.0%
32°C ou menos <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$33,400 Vol.
$33,400 Vol.
20 set 2026
32°C ou menos
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C
Sim
38°C
Não
39°C
Não
40°C
Não
41°C
Não
42°C ou mais
Não
37°C 100.0%
32°C ou menos <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$33,400 Vol.
$33,400 Vol.
20 set 2026
32°C ou menos
$5,520 Vol.
Não
33°C
$158 Vol.
Não
34°C
$3,932 Vol.
Não
35°C
$7,192 Vol.
Não
36°C
$5,414 Vol.
Não
37°C
$4,697 Vol.
Sim
38°C
$2,173 Vol.
Não
39°C
$2,674 Vol.
Não
40°C
$757 Vol.
Não
41°C
$623 Vol.
Não
42°C ou mais
$261 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certain probability to a 37°C high in Karachi on September 20 because Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models consistently project a daytime peak near that threshold under mostly clear skies, light westerly to northwesterly flow, and typical post-monsoon humidity. Official guidance notes sea breezes moderating extremes while afternoon temperatures climb from overnight lows near 26°C, aligning with climatological September averages around 35°C yet nudged higher by current atmospheric patterns. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated real-time observations and model consensus rather than speculation. A stronger-than-expected sea breeze, increased cloud cover, or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$33,400Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certain probability to a 37°C high in Karachi on September 20 because Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models consistently project a daytime peak near that threshold under mostly clear skies, light westerly to northwesterly flow, and typical post-monsoon humidity. Official guidance notes sea breezes moderating extremes while afternoon temperatures climb from overnight lows near 26°C, aligning with climatological September averages around 35°C yet nudged higher by current atmospheric patterns. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated real-time observations and model consensus rather than speculation. A stronger-than-expected sea breeze, increased cloud cover, or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,400Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Traders assign near-certain probability to a 37°C high in Karachi on September 20 because Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical models consistently project a daytime peak near that threshold under mostly clear skies, light westerly to northwesterly flow, and typical post-monsoon humidity. Official guidance notes sea breezes moderating extremes while afternoon temperatures climb from overnight lows near 26°C, aligning with climatological September averages around 35°C yet nudged higher by current atmospheric patterns. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated real-time observations and model consensus rather than speculation. A stronger-than-expected sea breeze, increased cloud cover, or revised station measurements could still shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C before final verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions