Traders have aligned on 31°C as Busan’s highest temperature for September 14, driven by real-time surface observations from Korea Meteorological Administration stations confirming this exact peak under clear skies and weak onshore flow. Stable subtropical high pressure has limited convective cooling while allowing daytime insolation to reach this threshold, aligning with ensemble guidance showing minimal spread around the observed maximum. September climatology for the region centers near 28–30°C, so 31°C represents a modest positive anomaly without triggering higher categories. Final verification depends on the agency’s post-processing of hourly data, though the market’s near-certainty leaves little room for revision unless an outlier station reading emerges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Busan em 14 de setembro?
31°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$28,633 Vol.
$28,633 Vol.
26°C ou menos
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Sim
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C ou mais
Não
31°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$28,633 Vol.
$28,633 Vol.
26°C ou menos
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Sim
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Traders have aligned on 31°C as Busan’s highest temperature for September 14, driven by real-time surface observations from Korea Meteorological Administration stations confirming this exact peak under clear skies and weak onshore flow. Stable subtropical high pressure has limited convective cooling while allowing daytime insolation to reach this threshold, aligning with ensemble guidance showing minimal spread around the observed maximum. September climatology for the region centers near 28–30°C, so 31°C represents a modest positive anomaly without triggering higher categories. Final verification depends on the agency’s post-processing of hourly data, though the market’s near-certainty leaves little room for revision unless an outlier station reading emerges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions