Consistent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum of 26°C in Ankara on September 14 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with climatological September norms near 25°C and recent observational trends showing stable high-pressure conditions limiting diurnal warming. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects verified model agreement on peak afternoon temperatures. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover suppressing solar heating or localized warm-air advection, though current atmospheric stability makes such deviations improbable before final official readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 14 de setembro?
26°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$46,158 Vol.
$46,158 Vol.
22°C ou menos
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Sim
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C ou mais
Não
26°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$46,158 Vol.
$46,158 Vol.
22°C ou menos
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Sim
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Consistent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum of 26°C in Ankara on September 14 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with climatological September norms near 25°C and recent observational trends showing stable high-pressure conditions limiting diurnal warming. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects verified model agreement on peak afternoon temperatures. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover suppressing solar heating or localized warm-air advection, though current atmospheric stability makes such deviations improbable before final official readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions