Austin Rogers holds a commanding lead in the FL-02 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, evidenced by the prior incumbent’s 23-point margin in 2024 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. The August 2026 primaries produced an open-seat contest after Neal Dunn’s retirement, with Rogers securing the GOP nomination in a crowded field and Green emerging as the Democratic nominee. Rogers benefits from prior roles as general counsel to Senator Rick Scott and established fundraising, while Green, a first-time candidate, has reported over $500,000 raised but faces structural barriers in this North Florida panhandle district. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or unusual turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFL-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
FL-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$15,793 Vol.
$15,793 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Austin Rogers (R)
91%
Amanda Green (D)
9%
$15,793 Vol.
$15,793 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Austin Rogers (R)
$9,846 Vol.
91%
Amanda Green (D)
$5,947 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Austin Rogers holds a commanding lead in the FL-02 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, evidenced by the prior incumbent’s 23-point margin in 2024 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. The August 2026 primaries produced an open-seat contest after Neal Dunn’s retirement, with Rogers securing the GOP nomination in a crowded field and Green emerging as the Democratic nominee. Rogers benefits from prior roles as general counsel to Senator Rick Scott and established fundraising, while Green, a first-time candidate, has reported over $500,000 raised but faces structural barriers in this North Florida panhandle district. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or unusual turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$15,793Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Austin Rogers holds a commanding lead in the FL-02 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, evidenced by the prior incumbent’s 23-point margin in 2024 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. The August 2026 primaries produced an open-seat contest after Neal Dunn’s retirement, with Rogers securing the GOP nomination in a crowded field and Green emerging as the Democratic nominee. Rogers benefits from prior roles as general counsel to Senator Rick Scott and established fundraising, while Green, a first-time candidate, has reported over $500,000 raised but faces structural barriers in this North Florida panhandle district. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or unusual turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,793Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Austin Rogers holds a commanding lead in the FL-02 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, evidenced by the prior incumbent’s 23-point margin in 2024 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. The August 2026 primaries produced an open-seat contest after Neal Dunn’s retirement, with Rogers securing the GOP nomination in a crowded field and Green emerging as the Democratic nominee. Rogers benefits from prior roles as general counsel to Senator Rick Scott and established fundraising, while Green, a first-time candidate, has reported over $500,000 raised but faces structural barriers in this North Florida panhandle district. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or unusual turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions