Ongoing Bundibugyo virus transmission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo has produced over 6,700 confirmed cases and more than 3,000 deaths as of early September 2026, yet CDC and WHO assessments place the risk of global pandemic spread at low levels due to the virus's contact-based transmission, limited intercontinental exports, and effective isolation of rare imported cases. Historical patterns show Ebola outbreaks rarely exceed regional boundaries when surveillance and contact tracing operate, with models projecting contained growth under sustained response. Trader consensus at 97% "No" reflects this evidence-based containment outlook, though realistic shifts could arise from accelerated spread into neighboring countries with weaker infrastructure or unexpected increases in transmissibility before full control.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
3% chance
$759,602 Vol.
$759,602 Vol.
31 dez 2026
3% chance
$759,602 Vol.
$759,602 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Bundibugyo virus transmission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo has produced over 6,700 confirmed cases and more than 3,000 deaths as of early September 2026, yet CDC and WHO assessments place the risk of global pandemic spread at low levels due to the virus's contact-based transmission, limited intercontinental exports, and effective isolation of rare imported cases. Historical patterns show Ebola outbreaks rarely exceed regional boundaries when surveillance and contact tracing operate, with models projecting contained growth under sustained response. Trader consensus at 97% "No" reflects this evidence-based containment outlook, though realistic shifts could arise from accelerated spread into neighboring countries with weaker infrastructure or unexpected increases in transmissibility before full control.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Volume
$759,602Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Bundibugyo virus transmission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo has produced over 6,700 confirmed cases and more than 3,000 deaths as of early September 2026, yet CDC and WHO assessments place the risk of global pandemic spread at low levels due to the virus's contact-based transmission, limited intercontinental exports, and effective isolation of rare imported cases. Historical patterns show Ebola outbreaks rarely exceed regional boundaries when surveillance and contact tracing operate, with models projecting contained growth under sustained response. Trader consensus at 97% "No" reflects this evidence-based containment outlook, though realistic shifts could arise from accelerated spread into neighboring countries with weaker infrastructure or unexpected increases in transmissibility before full control.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$759,602Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Bundibugyo virus transmission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo has produced over 6,700 confirmed cases and more than 3,000 deaths as of early September 2026, yet CDC and WHO assessments place the risk of global pandemic spread at low levels due to the virus's contact-based transmission, limited intercontinental exports, and effective isolation of rare imported cases. Historical patterns show Ebola outbreaks rarely exceed regional boundaries when surveillance and contact tracing operate, with models projecting contained growth under sustained response. Trader consensus at 97% "No" reflects this evidence-based containment outlook, though realistic shifts could arise from accelerated spread into neighboring countries with weaker infrastructure or unexpected increases in transmissibility before full control.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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