California’s 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent safe-Democratic ratings across forecasting outlets. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Democratic candidates Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez to the November general election, following the earlier special election runoff won by Wahab. This structural outcome, driven by the district’s East Bay voter base and historical results, has produced overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic hold. The November contest will therefore resolve to one of the two Democrats regardless of internal dynamics. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or an unprecedented party switch remain the only narrow pathways that could theoretically alter the result before ballots are cast.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da Câmara do CA-14
Vencedor da eleição da Câmara do CA-14
$35,762 Vol.
$35,762 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
97%
Partido Republicano
<1%
$35,762 Vol.
$35,762 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$14,006 Vol.
97%
Partido Republicano
$21,756 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent safe-Democratic ratings across forecasting outlets. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Democratic candidates Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez to the November general election, following the earlier special election runoff won by Wahab. This structural outcome, driven by the district’s East Bay voter base and historical results, has produced overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic hold. The November contest will therefore resolve to one of the two Democrats regardless of internal dynamics. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or an unprecedented party switch remain the only narrow pathways that could theoretically alter the result before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$35,762Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent safe-Democratic ratings across forecasting outlets. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Democratic candidates Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez to the November general election, following the earlier special election runoff won by Wahab. This structural outcome, driven by the district’s East Bay voter base and historical results, has produced overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic hold. The November contest will therefore resolve to one of the two Democrats regardless of internal dynamics. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or an unprecedented party switch remain the only narrow pathways that could theoretically alter the result before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,762Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent safe-Democratic ratings across forecasting outlets. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced only Democratic candidates Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez to the November general election, following the earlier special election runoff won by Wahab. This structural outcome, driven by the district’s East Bay voter base and historical results, has produced overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic hold. The November contest will therefore resolve to one of the two Democrats regardless of internal dynamics. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or an unprecedented party switch remain the only narrow pathways that could theoretically alter the result before ballots are cast.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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