**Trader consensus in the Argentina official USD exchange rate market heavily favors levels above 1,600 ARS per USD by end-2026, reflecting expectations of continued gradual peso depreciation under the inflation-indexed crawling band regime.** Current official rates hover near 1,515 ARS per USD in September 2026, following steady monthly increases of roughly 0.2–0.4% amid a floating band that expands with lagged inflation. Market surveys such as the BCRA’s REM project a median of around 1,630 ARS by December, consistent with year-end inflation forecasts near 25–30% and the policy of aligning crawl rates to realized price pressures. Positive IMF reviews highlight fiscal surpluses and reserve accumulation, yet recent data show disinflation stalling, modest GDP growth near 3–3.5%, and pressures from a relatively strong peso weighing on certain sectors. These dynamics, combined with limited near-term catalysts for sharp acceleration or reversal before year-end, underpin the elevated implied probability on the 1,600+ bucket.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTaxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026?
Taxa de câmbio oficial da Argentina em USD no final de 2026?
1600,00+ 78%
1500,00–1549,99 16.6%
1550,00–1599,99 16.5%
1450,00–1499,99 4.5%
$11,028 Vol.
$11,028 Vol.
30 dez 2026
<1250,00
3%
1250,00–1299,99
2%
1300,00–1349,99
3%
1350,00–1399,99
3%
1400,00–1449,99
4%
1450,00–1499,99
5%
1500,00–1549,99
11%
1550,00–1599,99
14%
1600,00+
74%
1600,00+ 78%
1500,00–1549,99 16.6%
1550,00–1599,99 16.5%
1450,00–1499,99 4.5%
$11,028 Vol.
$11,028 Vol.
30 dez 2026
<1250,00
$608 Vol.
3%
1250,00–1299,99
$1,024 Vol.
2%
1300,00–1349,99
$893 Vol.
3%
1350,00–1399,99
$978 Vol.
3%
1400,00–1449,99
$1,316 Vol.
4%
1450,00–1499,99
$1,546 Vol.
5%
1500,00–1549,99
$1,417 Vol.
11%
1550,00–1599,99
$825 Vol.
14%
1600,00+
$2,421 Vol.
74%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader consensus in the Argentina official USD exchange rate market heavily favors levels above 1,600 ARS per USD by end-2026, reflecting expectations of continued gradual peso depreciation under the inflation-indexed crawling band regime.** Current official rates hover near 1,515 ARS per USD in September 2026, following steady monthly increases of roughly 0.2–0.4% amid a floating band that expands with lagged inflation. Market surveys such as the BCRA’s REM project a median of around 1,630 ARS by December, consistent with year-end inflation forecasts near 25–30% and the policy of aligning crawl rates to realized price pressures. Positive IMF reviews highlight fiscal surpluses and reserve accumulation, yet recent data show disinflation stalling, modest GDP growth near 3–3.5%, and pressures from a relatively strong peso weighing on certain sectors. These dynamics, combined with limited near-term catalysts for sharp acceleration or reversal before year-end, underpin the elevated implied probability on the 1,600+ bucket.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Volume
$11,028Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader consensus in the Argentina official USD exchange rate market heavily favors levels above 1,600 ARS per USD by end-2026, reflecting expectations of continued gradual peso depreciation under the inflation-indexed crawling band regime.** Current official rates hover near 1,515 ARS per USD in September 2026, following steady monthly increases of roughly 0.2–0.4% amid a floating band that expands with lagged inflation. Market surveys such as the BCRA’s REM project a median of around 1,630 ARS by December, consistent with year-end inflation forecasts near 25–30% and the policy of aligning crawl rates to realized price pressures. Positive IMF reviews highlight fiscal surpluses and reserve accumulation, yet recent data show disinflation stalling, modest GDP growth near 3–3.5%, and pressures from a relatively strong peso weighing on certain sectors. These dynamics, combined with limited near-term catalysts for sharp acceleration or reversal before year-end, underpin the elevated implied probability on the 1,600+ bucket.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$11,028Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus in the Argentina official USD exchange rate market heavily favors levels above 1,600 ARS per USD by end-2026, reflecting expectations of continued gradual peso depreciation under the inflation-indexed crawling band regime.** Current official rates hover near 1,515 ARS per USD in September 2026, following steady monthly increases of roughly 0.2–0.4% amid a floating band that expands with lagged inflation. Market surveys such as the BCRA’s REM project a median of around 1,630 ARS by December, consistent with year-end inflation forecasts near 25–30% and the policy of aligning crawl rates to realized price pressures. Positive IMF reviews highlight fiscal surpluses and reserve accumulation, yet recent data show disinflation stalling, modest GDP growth near 3–3.5%, and pressures from a relatively strong peso weighing on certain sectors. These dynamics, combined with limited near-term catalysts for sharp acceleration or reversal before year-end, underpin the elevated implied probability on the 1,600+ bucket.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions