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icon for A Argentina vai dolarizar até...?

A Argentina vai dolarizar até...?

icon for A Argentina vai dolarizar até...?

A Argentina vai dolarizar até...?

$45,978 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$45,978 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 31 de dezembro de 2026

31 de dezembro de 2026

$16,311 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.**President Javier Milei’s administration has prioritized fiscal surpluses, inflation reduction, and reserve accumulation over formal dollarization since taking office.** After campaigning on replacing the peso with the US dollar, the government shifted to a managed floating exchange-rate regime with widening bands tied to recent inflation, supported by a $20 billion IMF program, US swap facilities, and domestic reforms including a central bank charter rewrite that limits its mandate to price stability and bars Treasury financing. As of September 2026, no legislation or executive steps have advanced official adoption of the dollar as legal tender. Instead, recent measures focus on coaxing an estimated $170+ billion in off-system dollars into banks and sustaining private holdings of dollars and stablecoins. Traders assign low probabilities to near-term official dollarization because the current stabilization path—backed by export growth, reserve purchases exceeding $14 billion year-to-date, and preparations for 2027 elections—avoids abrupt regime change while addressing capital-flow pressures ahead of the presidential vote.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.

Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
Volume
$45,978
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 28, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.**President Javier Milei’s administration has prioritized fiscal surpluses, inflation reduction, and reserve accumulation over formal dollarization since taking office.** After campaigning on replacing the peso with the US dollar, the government shifted to a managed floating exchange-rate regime with widening bands tied to recent inflation, supported by a $20 billion IMF program, US swap facilities, and domestic reforms including a central bank charter rewrite that limits its mandate to price stability and bars Treasury financing. As of September 2026, no legislation or executive steps have advanced official adoption of the dollar as legal tender. Instead, recent measures focus on coaxing an estimated $170+ billion in off-system dollars into banks and sustaining private holdings of dollars and stablecoins. Traders assign low probabilities to near-term official dollarization because the current stabilization path—backed by export growth, reserve purchases exceeding $14 billion year-to-date, and preparations for 2027 elections—avoids abrupt regime change while addressing capital-flow pressures ahead of the presidential vote.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.

Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
Volume
$45,978
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 28, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"A Argentina vai dolarizar até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 5%, followed by "30 de junho de 2026" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 5¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 5% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A Argentina vai dolarizar até...?" has generated $46K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A Argentina vai dolarizar até...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "A Argentina vai dolarizar até...?" is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at just 5%, with "30 de junho de 2026" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "A Argentina vai dolarizar até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.