Pardon predictions & odds

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$457K Vol.

$402K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

21%

Stefan Brodie

$457K Vol.

$402K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Peru Election

Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

$43.5K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

11%

$43.5K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Epstein

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

$748K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$748K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Netanyahu arrested by…?

$25.5K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$25.5K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Bibi

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

$483K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

18%

December 31

$483K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Culture·Kanye West

Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?

$3.3K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

$3.3K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Tech·Bill Gates

Will Phoebe Gates be arrested by September 30?

$198 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

$198 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Subtop De France (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

$3.3K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

55%

Subtop De France

$3.3K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Sports·Games

Paris Saint-Germain Handball vs. Cesson Rennes Metropole HB

$0 Vol.

$282 Liq.

Ends in 10 days

92%

Paris Saint-Germain Handball

$0 Vol.

$282 Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Fraternity (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

$19.0K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

50%

ENJOY

$19.0K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Politics·Marine Le Pen

Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?

$2.1K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

16%

$2.1K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Sports·Games

SaiPa Lappeenranta vs. HC Pardubice

$0 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

63%

HC Pardubice

$0 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs EvolupeGG (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

$583 Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

48%

ENJOY

$583 Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Sports·Games

Top 14: Lyon Rugby vs Pau

$2 Vol.

$273 Liq.

Ends in 16 days

34%

Yes

$2 Vol.

$273 Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Esports·Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: Heretics vs Geekay Esports (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage

$0 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

72%

Geekay Esports

$0 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

World·Clavicular

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

$74.7K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$74.7K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: SAW vs Nice Try (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B

$34 Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

69%

SAW

$34 Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

Sports·Games

Limoges Handball vs. Saran Loiret Handball

$0 Vol.

$374 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

86%

Limoges Handball

$0 Vol.

$374 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Politics·Appeal

Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by...?

$3.6K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

October 31

$3.6K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

World·Canada

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

$159K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

18%

$159K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Pardon.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Pardon that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 95% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Pardon predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Pardon shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Pardon prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Pardon prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Pardon predictions & odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Pardon prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Pardon markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Pardon prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Pardon predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Pardon odds?

Can I track Pardon predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Pardon markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Pardon predictions & odds