Recent incidents on September 3, 10, and 11 have shaped trader sentiment for Claude downtime in September 2026, with elevated errors on models like Mythos 5.1 and Fable 5.1, API latency spikes in the US Midwest, and ongoing Claude Cowork degradation tied to a Windows update. These events, resolving in minutes to hours but recurring across claude.ai, API, and Code components, align with broader AI infrastructure strains seen in simultaneous OpenAI and xAI disruptions, likely from shared cloud routing or scaling pressures. With roughly half the month elapsed and at least three affected days logged, the near-even split between 5-7 and 8-10 day outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether Anthropic’s mitigation pace and model-specific fixes will keep total downtime moderate or push it higher amid growing enterprise usage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Claude go down on __ days in September?
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?
8-10 46%
5-7 42%
11-13 9.2%
<5 6.3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
<5
6%
5-7
42%
8-10
46%
11-13
9%
14+
3%
8-10 46%
5-7 42%
11-13 9.2%
<5 6.3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
<5
$1,740 Wol.
6%
5-7
$2,889 Wol.
42%
8-10
$1,139 Wol.
46%
11-13
$787 Wol.
9%
14+
$431 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent incidents on September 3, 10, and 11 have shaped trader sentiment for Claude downtime in September 2026, with elevated errors on models like Mythos 5.1 and Fable 5.1, API latency spikes in the US Midwest, and ongoing Claude Cowork degradation tied to a Windows update. These events, resolving in minutes to hours but recurring across claude.ai, API, and Code components, align with broader AI infrastructure strains seen in simultaneous OpenAI and xAI disruptions, likely from shared cloud routing or scaling pressures. With roughly half the month elapsed and at least three affected days logged, the near-even split between 5-7 and 8-10 day outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether Anthropic’s mitigation pace and model-specific fixes will keep total downtime moderate or push it higher amid growing enterprise usage.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Wolumen
$6,986Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent incidents on September 3, 10, and 11 have shaped trader sentiment for Claude downtime in September 2026, with elevated errors on models like Mythos 5.1 and Fable 5.1, API latency spikes in the US Midwest, and ongoing Claude Cowork degradation tied to a Windows update. These events, resolving in minutes to hours but recurring across claude.ai, API, and Code components, align with broader AI infrastructure strains seen in simultaneous OpenAI and xAI disruptions, likely from shared cloud routing or scaling pressures. With roughly half the month elapsed and at least three affected days logged, the near-even split between 5-7 and 8-10 day outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether Anthropic’s mitigation pace and model-specific fixes will keep total downtime moderate or push it higher amid growing enterprise usage.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Wolumen
$6,986Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent incidents on September 3, 10, and 11 have shaped trader sentiment for Claude downtime in September 2026, with elevated errors on models like Mythos 5.1 and Fable 5.1, API latency spikes in the US Midwest, and ongoing Claude Cowork degradation tied to a Windows update. These events, resolving in minutes to hours but recurring across claude.ai, API, and Code components, align with broader AI infrastructure strains seen in simultaneous OpenAI and xAI disruptions, likely from shared cloud routing or scaling pressures. With roughly half the month elapsed and at least three affected days logged, the near-even split between 5-7 and 8-10 day outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether Anthropic’s mitigation pace and model-specific fixes will keep total downtime moderate or push it higher amid growing enterprise usage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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