Frontier labs continue releasing models with enhanced reasoning capabilities that directly impact MathArena performance, where top entries like GPT-6 Astra (max) and Claude Fable 5.1 variants now post expected accuracies above 70-90% on uncontaminated olympiad and arXiv-derived problems. OpenAI’s early September 2026 launch of GPT-6 Astra shifted leaderboards on FrontierMath tiers and related tracks, while Anthropic’s recent Claude updates maintain close competition through improved chain-of-thought and agent scaffolding. Traders watch for further releases or targeted math fine-tunes before year-end, as historical patterns show rapid saturation on easier final-answer contests but persistent gaps on proof-heavy Apex and research-level sets. Key catalysts include any December announcements or benchmark refreshes that could push aggregate scores higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
$119,649 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
1575
74%
1600
29%
$119,649 Wol.
1575
$38,790 Wol.
74%
1600
$12,254 Wol.
29%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Frontier labs continue releasing models with enhanced reasoning capabilities that directly impact MathArena performance, where top entries like GPT-6 Astra (max) and Claude Fable 5.1 variants now post expected accuracies above 70-90% on uncontaminated olympiad and arXiv-derived problems. OpenAI’s early September 2026 launch of GPT-6 Astra shifted leaderboards on FrontierMath tiers and related tracks, while Anthropic’s recent Claude updates maintain close competition through improved chain-of-thought and agent scaffolding. Traders watch for further releases or targeted math fine-tunes before year-end, as historical patterns show rapid saturation on easier final-answer contests but persistent gaps on proof-heavy Apex and research-level sets. Key catalysts include any December announcements or benchmark refreshes that could push aggregate scores higher.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Rynek otwarty: Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$119,649Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Frontier labs continue releasing models with enhanced reasoning capabilities that directly impact MathArena performance, where top entries like GPT-6 Astra (max) and Claude Fable 5.1 variants now post expected accuracies above 70-90% on uncontaminated olympiad and arXiv-derived problems. OpenAI’s early September 2026 launch of GPT-6 Astra shifted leaderboards on FrontierMath tiers and related tracks, while Anthropic’s recent Claude updates maintain close competition through improved chain-of-thought and agent scaffolding. Traders watch for further releases or targeted math fine-tunes before year-end, as historical patterns show rapid saturation on easier final-answer contests but persistent gaps on proof-heavy Apex and research-level sets. Key catalysts include any December announcements or benchmark refreshes that could push aggregate scores higher.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Wolumen
$119,649Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Frontier labs continue releasing models with enhanced reasoning capabilities that directly impact MathArena performance, where top entries like GPT-6 Astra (max) and Claude Fable 5.1 variants now post expected accuracies above 70-90% on uncontaminated olympiad and arXiv-derived problems. OpenAI’s early September 2026 launch of GPT-6 Astra shifted leaderboards on FrontierMath tiers and related tracks, while Anthropic’s recent Claude updates maintain close competition through improved chain-of-thought and agent scaffolding. Traders watch for further releases or targeted math fine-tunes before year-end, as historical patterns show rapid saturation on easier final-answer contests but persistent gaps on proof-heavy Apex and research-level sets. Key catalysts include any December announcements or benchmark refreshes that could push aggregate scores higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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