Recent releases from frontier labs have driven sharp gains on coding leaderboards, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra claiming the top WebDev Arena spot at 1,797 Elo shortly after its September 3 launch and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus variants holding leads on Terminal-Bench (around 58%) and SWE-Rebench (65%). These community-voted and agentic benchmarks reward multi-step tool use and long-horizon tasks, where scores have climbed steadily through iterative model updates and scaffold improvements. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of releases and the narrowing gap between closed and open-weight systems, though saturation on some verified suites and benchmark contamination risks introduce uncertainty ahead of year-end resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
$212,331 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
1560
36%
1580
25%
1600
13%
$212,331 Wol.
1560
$105,449 Wol.
36%
1580
$69,968 Wol.
25%
1600
$36,914 Wol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases from frontier labs have driven sharp gains on coding leaderboards, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra claiming the top WebDev Arena spot at 1,797 Elo shortly after its September 3 launch and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus variants holding leads on Terminal-Bench (around 58%) and SWE-Rebench (65%). These community-voted and agentic benchmarks reward multi-step tool use and long-horizon tasks, where scores have climbed steadily through iterative model updates and scaffold improvements. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of releases and the narrowing gap between closed and open-weight systems, though saturation on some verified suites and benchmark contamination risks introduce uncertainty ahead of year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Rynek otwarty: Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$212,331Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases from frontier labs have driven sharp gains on coding leaderboards, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra claiming the top WebDev Arena spot at 1,797 Elo shortly after its September 3 launch and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus variants holding leads on Terminal-Bench (around 58%) and SWE-Rebench (65%). These community-voted and agentic benchmarks reward multi-step tool use and long-horizon tasks, where scores have climbed steadily through iterative model updates and scaffold improvements. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of releases and the narrowing gap between closed and open-weight systems, though saturation on some verified suites and benchmark contamination risks introduce uncertainty ahead of year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Wolumen
$212,331Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Recent releases from frontier labs have driven sharp gains on coding leaderboards, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra claiming the top WebDev Arena spot at 1,797 Elo shortly after its September 3 launch and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus variants holding leads on Terminal-Bench (around 58%) and SWE-Rebench (65%). These community-voted and agentic benchmarks reward multi-step tool use and long-horizon tasks, where scores have climbed steadily through iterative model updates and scaffold improvements. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of releases and the narrowing gap between closed and open-weight systems, though saturation on some verified suites and benchmark contamination risks introduce uncertainty ahead of year-end resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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