Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026 due to her installation as interim president following the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice directed her to assume executive powers to ensure continuity, with subsequent endorsement from the armed forces and National Assembly. U.S. recognition in March, removal from sanctions lists, and bilateral oil agreements have strengthened her position, while she has consolidated control through cabinet and military changes and maintained PSUV institutional backing. Transition talks with opposition figures continue under U.S. facilitation, but no elections or leadership shifts have materialized. Potential challenges include internal party rivalries, renewed U.S. pressure for prompt multiparty elections, or unforeseen institutional resistance that could alter the current trajectory before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDelcy Rodríguez 93%
María Corina Machado 4.0%
Marco Rubio 1.4%
No Head of State <1%
$400,266 Wol.
$400,266 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
93%
María Corina Machado
4%
Marco Rubio
1%
No Head of State
1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 93%
María Corina Machado 4.0%
Marco Rubio 1.4%
No Head of State <1%
$400,266 Wol.
$400,266 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$113,027 Wol.
93%
María Corina Machado
$53,465 Wol.
4%
Marco Rubio
$6,549 Wol.
1%
No Head of State
$67,180 Wol.
1%
Dinorah Figuera
$4,607 Wol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$8,415 Wol.
<1%
Edmundo González
$4,128 Wol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$3,349 Wol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$42,247 Wol.
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
$4,907 Wol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$3,574 Wol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$2,926 Wol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$68,170 Wol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$7,309 Wol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$3,037 Wol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$7,378 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026 due to her installation as interim president following the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice directed her to assume executive powers to ensure continuity, with subsequent endorsement from the armed forces and National Assembly. U.S. recognition in March, removal from sanctions lists, and bilateral oil agreements have strengthened her position, while she has consolidated control through cabinet and military changes and maintained PSUV institutional backing. Transition talks with opposition figures continue under U.S. facilitation, but no elections or leadership shifts have materialized. Potential challenges include internal party rivalries, renewed U.S. pressure for prompt multiparty elections, or unforeseen institutional resistance that could alter the current trajectory before year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Rynek otwarty: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Wolumen
$400,266Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026 due to her installation as interim president following the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice directed her to assume executive powers to ensure continuity, with subsequent endorsement from the armed forces and National Assembly. U.S. recognition in March, removal from sanctions lists, and bilateral oil agreements have strengthened her position, while she has consolidated control through cabinet and military changes and maintained PSUV institutional backing. Transition talks with opposition figures continue under U.S. facilitation, but no elections or leadership shifts have materialized. Potential challenges include internal party rivalries, renewed U.S. pressure for prompt multiparty elections, or unforeseen institutional resistance that could alter the current trajectory before year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Wolumen
$400,266Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026 due to her installation as interim president following the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice directed her to assume executive powers to ensure continuity, with subsequent endorsement from the armed forces and National Assembly. U.S. recognition in March, removal from sanctions lists, and bilateral oil agreements have strengthened her position, while she has consolidated control through cabinet and military changes and maintained PSUV institutional backing. Transition talks with opposition figures continue under U.S. facilitation, but no elections or leadership shifts have materialized. Potential challenges include internal party rivalries, renewed U.S. pressure for prompt multiparty elections, or unforeseen institutional resistance that could alter the current trajectory before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania