Diplomatic initiatives to secure a Sudan ceasefire continue amid persistent battlefield fighting between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces. The UN Security Council’s September 11 extension of the Darfur arms embargo, while debating a U.S. proposal for nationwide restrictions, reflects external pressure on both sides to negotiate. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has conditioned acceptance of U.S.-backed plans for a humanitarian truce and civilian transition on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities, a longstanding sticking point. Recent RSF drone strikes and SAF counteroffensives in North Kordofan and Blue Nile, alongside a September Quintet envoy visit to Khartoum, underscore stalled talks and ongoing military momentum. These dynamics, combined with external supply networks and famine risks, shape trader assessments of near-term de-escalation prospects.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSudan civil war ceasefire by...?
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
$119,424 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
13%
$119,424 Wol.
December 31, 2026
$14,886 Wol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Diplomatic initiatives to secure a Sudan ceasefire continue amid persistent battlefield fighting between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces. The UN Security Council’s September 11 extension of the Darfur arms embargo, while debating a U.S. proposal for nationwide restrictions, reflects external pressure on both sides to negotiate. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has conditioned acceptance of U.S.-backed plans for a humanitarian truce and civilian transition on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities, a longstanding sticking point. Recent RSF drone strikes and SAF counteroffensives in North Kordofan and Blue Nile, alongside a September Quintet envoy visit to Khartoum, underscore stalled talks and ongoing military momentum. These dynamics, combined with external supply networks and famine risks, shape trader assessments of near-term de-escalation prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
Wolumen
$119,424Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Diplomatic initiatives to secure a Sudan ceasefire continue amid persistent battlefield fighting between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces. The UN Security Council’s September 11 extension of the Darfur arms embargo, while debating a U.S. proposal for nationwide restrictions, reflects external pressure on both sides to negotiate. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has conditioned acceptance of U.S.-backed plans for a humanitarian truce and civilian transition on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities, a longstanding sticking point. Recent RSF drone strikes and SAF counteroffensives in North Kordofan and Blue Nile, alongside a September Quintet envoy visit to Khartoum, underscore stalled talks and ongoing military momentum. These dynamics, combined with external supply networks and famine risks, shape trader assessments of near-term de-escalation prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Wolumen
$119,424Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic initiatives to secure a Sudan ceasefire continue amid persistent battlefield fighting between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces. The UN Security Council’s September 11 extension of the Darfur arms embargo, while debating a U.S. proposal for nationwide restrictions, reflects external pressure on both sides to negotiate. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has conditioned acceptance of U.S.-backed plans for a humanitarian truce and civilian transition on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities, a longstanding sticking point. Recent RSF drone strikes and SAF counteroffensives in North Kordofan and Blue Nile, alongside a September Quintet envoy visit to Khartoum, underscore stalled talks and ongoing military momentum. These dynamics, combined with external supply networks and famine risks, shape trader assessments of near-term de-escalation prospects.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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