Recent flash drought expansion across the South-Central U.S., driven by persistent above-normal temperatures and precipitation deficits from Texas through Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Arkansas, and northern Mississippi, has intensified soil moisture depletion and streamflow declines, elevating D4 (Exceptional Drought) conditions on the U.S. Drought Monitor scale. As of early September 2026 data valid around September 1, D4 coverage reached about 1.4–1.7% nationally, concentrated in states such as Idaho, Colorado, and parts of the southern Plains, with further degradations noted in the latest weekly assessments. Warmer-than-average conditions sustaining high evaporative demand, combined with limited recent rainfall, support trader consensus around 10 or more states in D4 for the week of September 8. Upcoming Thursday USDM releases will incorporate new model runs and observational data that could shift boundaries.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026?
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026?
10 or more states 61%
3-4 states 41%
5-6 states 41%
7-9 states 41%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
0 states
1%
1-2 states
38%
3-4 states
41%
5-6 states
41%
7-9 states
41%
10 or more states
61%
10 or more states 61%
3-4 states 41%
5-6 states 41%
7-9 states 41%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
0 states
$51 Wol.
1%
1-2 states
$0 Wol.
38%
3-4 states
$0 Wol.
41%
5-6 states
$0 Wol.
41%
7-9 states
$0 Wol.
41%
10 or more states
$0 Wol.
61%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.Recent flash drought expansion across the South-Central U.S., driven by persistent above-normal temperatures and precipitation deficits from Texas through Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Arkansas, and northern Mississippi, has intensified soil moisture depletion and streamflow declines, elevating D4 (Exceptional Drought) conditions on the U.S. Drought Monitor scale. As of early September 2026 data valid around September 1, D4 coverage reached about 1.4–1.7% nationally, concentrated in states such as Idaho, Colorado, and parts of the southern Plains, with further degradations noted in the latest weekly assessments. Warmer-than-average conditions sustaining high evaporative demand, combined with limited recent rainfall, support trader consensus around 10 or more states in D4 for the week of September 8. Upcoming Thursday USDM releases will incorporate new model runs and observational data that could shift boundaries.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Wolumen
$51Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.Recent flash drought expansion across the South-Central U.S., driven by persistent above-normal temperatures and precipitation deficits from Texas through Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Arkansas, and northern Mississippi, has intensified soil moisture depletion and streamflow declines, elevating D4 (Exceptional Drought) conditions on the U.S. Drought Monitor scale. As of early September 2026 data valid around September 1, D4 coverage reached about 1.4–1.7% nationally, concentrated in states such as Idaho, Colorado, and parts of the southern Plains, with further degradations noted in the latest weekly assessments. Warmer-than-average conditions sustaining high evaporative demand, combined with limited recent rainfall, support trader consensus around 10 or more states in D4 for the week of September 8. Upcoming Thursday USDM releases will incorporate new model runs and observational data that could shift boundaries.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Wolumen
$51Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent flash drought expansion across the South-Central U.S., driven by persistent above-normal temperatures and precipitation deficits from Texas through Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Arkansas, and northern Mississippi, has intensified soil moisture depletion and streamflow declines, elevating D4 (Exceptional Drought) conditions on the U.S. Drought Monitor scale. As of early September 2026 data valid around September 1, D4 coverage reached about 1.4–1.7% nationally, concentrated in states such as Idaho, Colorado, and parts of the southern Plains, with further degradations noted in the latest weekly assessments. Warmer-than-average conditions sustaining high evaporative demand, combined with limited recent rainfall, support trader consensus around 10 or more states in D4 for the week of September 8. Upcoming Thursday USDM releases will incorporate new model runs and observational data that could shift boundaries.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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