**Primetime’s market pricing reflects expectations of a steep second-weekend decline after its $19.2 million opening.** The A24 true-crime drama, led by Robert Pattinson as Chris Hansen, benefited from strong Gen Z turnout and Venice buzz that pushed it to A24’s third-best debut, but a front-loaded run and B CinemaScore point to softer word-of-mouth. Typical multipliers for comparable titles in this genre and release window support a 55-65% drop into the $7-9 million range that currently leads trader consensus. New wide releases arriving this frame add further pressure on holdover screens, while the film’s modest budget already positions it for profitability regardless of the exact hold. Upcoming daily tracking and Monday estimates will clarify whether the drop lands at the high or low end of the favored bands.