Tom Suozzi holds a commanding lead in the NY-03 House election market due to his status as the Democratic incumbent who defeated LiPetri by roughly four points in 2024, combined with strong primary performance, a significant fundraising edge exceeding $5 million in cash on hand versus under $1 million for his opponent, and consistent positioning as a bipartisan problem-solver who has crossed party lines on immigration and crime measures. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic in an EVEN Cook PVI district that Donald Trump carried narrowly in 2024, reflecting Suozzi’s established local coalition across Nassau, Suffolk, and Queens counties. LiPetri secured the Republican nomination and some union support ahead of the November 3 general election, yet faces structural challenges including limited name recognition and the district’s recent preference for the sitting representative. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a sharp national Republican surge, unexpected turnout shifts, or late developments altering voter priorities in this competitive suburban seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-03 House Election Winner
NY-03 House Election Winner
$26,472 Wol.
$26,472 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
8%
$26,472 Wol.
$26,472 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
$12,616 Wol.
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
$13,855 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Suozzi holds a commanding lead in the NY-03 House election market due to his status as the Democratic incumbent who defeated LiPetri by roughly four points in 2024, combined with strong primary performance, a significant fundraising edge exceeding $5 million in cash on hand versus under $1 million for his opponent, and consistent positioning as a bipartisan problem-solver who has crossed party lines on immigration and crime measures. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic in an EVEN Cook PVI district that Donald Trump carried narrowly in 2024, reflecting Suozzi’s established local coalition across Nassau, Suffolk, and Queens counties. LiPetri secured the Republican nomination and some union support ahead of the November 3 general election, yet faces structural challenges including limited name recognition and the district’s recent preference for the sitting representative. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a sharp national Republican surge, unexpected turnout shifts, or late developments altering voter priorities in this competitive suburban seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$26,472Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Suozzi holds a commanding lead in the NY-03 House election market due to his status as the Democratic incumbent who defeated LiPetri by roughly four points in 2024, combined with strong primary performance, a significant fundraising edge exceeding $5 million in cash on hand versus under $1 million for his opponent, and consistent positioning as a bipartisan problem-solver who has crossed party lines on immigration and crime measures. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic in an EVEN Cook PVI district that Donald Trump carried narrowly in 2024, reflecting Suozzi’s established local coalition across Nassau, Suffolk, and Queens counties. LiPetri secured the Republican nomination and some union support ahead of the November 3 general election, yet faces structural challenges including limited name recognition and the district’s recent preference for the sitting representative. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a sharp national Republican surge, unexpected turnout shifts, or late developments altering voter priorities in this competitive suburban seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$26,472Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Suozzi holds a commanding lead in the NY-03 House election market due to his status as the Democratic incumbent who defeated LiPetri by roughly four points in 2024, combined with strong primary performance, a significant fundraising edge exceeding $5 million in cash on hand versus under $1 million for his opponent, and consistent positioning as a bipartisan problem-solver who has crossed party lines on immigration and crime measures. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic in an EVEN Cook PVI district that Donald Trump carried narrowly in 2024, reflecting Suozzi’s established local coalition across Nassau, Suffolk, and Queens counties. LiPetri secured the Republican nomination and some union support ahead of the November 3 general election, yet faces structural challenges including limited name recognition and the district’s recent preference for the sitting representative. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a sharp national Republican surge, unexpected turnout shifts, or late developments altering voter priorities in this competitive suburban seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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