Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated September 13, indicate Munich's overnight minimum on September 14 will likely fall in the 11–15°C range amid light rain, westerly winds, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on 12–14°C outcomes, reflecting modest Atlantic moisture advection rather than stronger cold-air intrusion. Values near the seasonal average low of 10.2°C remain possible if skies clear earlier than expected, while higher readings could occur with sustained cloud and humidity. Ensemble spreads highlight remaining uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts before dawn, with official DWD observations and final model guidance due overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on September 14?
9°C or below 52%
11°C 40%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
9°C or below
52%
10°C
18%
11°C
40%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
25%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C or higher
14%
9°C or below 52%
11°C 40%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
9°C or below
52%
10°C
18%
11°C
40%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
25%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated September 13, indicate Munich's overnight minimum on September 14 will likely fall in the 11–15°C range amid light rain, westerly winds, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup aligns with trader emphasis on 12–14°C outcomes, reflecting modest Atlantic moisture advection rather than stronger cold-air intrusion. Values near the seasonal average low of 10.2°C remain possible if skies clear earlier than expected, while higher readings could occur with sustained cloud and humidity. Ensemble spreads highlight remaining uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts before dawn, with official DWD observations and final model guidance due overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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